Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on August 22 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with forecast highs clustered between 99–103 °F under light southwest flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between the 98–99 °F (38 %) and 100–101 °F (31.5 %) bins. Key differentiating variables include afternoon dew-point suppression, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day sea-breeze or scattered convection that could cap temperatures a degree or two below guidance. With climatological normals near 93 °F and recent observed highs of 98–100 °F, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and heat-index trends while recognizing that small shifts in insolation or moisture advection could easily move the official maximum across the 99–100 °F threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on August 22?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 22?
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
4%
110°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
91°F or below
$5 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$25 Wol.
6%
94-95°F
$25 Wol.
6%
96-97°F
$39 Wol.
14%
98-99°F
$172 Wol.
44%
100-101°F
$35 Wol.
32%
102-103°F
$24 Wol.
10%
104-105°F
$22 Wol.
6%
106-107°F
$25 Wol.
6%
108-109°F
$25 Wol.
4%
110°F or higher
$25 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on August 22 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with forecast highs clustered between 99–103 °F under light southwest flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between the 98–99 °F (38 %) and 100–101 °F (31.5 %) bins. Key differentiating variables include afternoon dew-point suppression, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day sea-breeze or scattered convection that could cap temperatures a degree or two below guidance. With climatological normals near 93 °F and recent observed highs of 98–100 °F, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and heat-index trends while recognizing that small shifts in insolation or moisture advection could easily move the official maximum across the 99–100 °F threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$422Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on August 22 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with forecast highs clustered between 99–103 °F under light southwest flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between the 98–99 °F (38 %) and 100–101 °F (31.5 %) bins. Key differentiating variables include afternoon dew-point suppression, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day sea-breeze or scattered convection that could cap temperatures a degree or two below guidance. With climatological normals near 93 °F and recent observed highs of 98–100 °F, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and heat-index trends while recognizing that small shifts in insolation or moisture advection could easily move the official maximum across the 99–100 °F threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$422Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on August 22 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with forecast highs clustered between 99–103 °F under light southwest flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between the 98–99 °F (38 %) and 100–101 °F (31.5 %) bins. Key differentiating variables include afternoon dew-point suppression, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day sea-breeze or scattered convection that could cap temperatures a degree or two below guidance. With climatological normals near 93 °F and recent observed highs of 98–100 °F, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and heat-index trends while recognizing that small shifts in insolation or moisture advection could easily move the official maximum across the 99–100 °F threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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