Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23, reflecting subtle differences in short-range forecast guidance. Subtropical summer conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon and variable tropical moisture typically produce nighttime lows near 26–28°C, with cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts able to alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model ensembles diverge modestly on the extent of overnight clearing versus lingering humidity ahead of any weak disturbances. The Hong Kong Observatory’s updated analyses and observational verification will refine these probabilities in the final 48 hours, as traders weigh historical late-August baselines against current atmospheric setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
22%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$22 Wol.
1%
22°C
$72 Wol.
1%
23°C
$713 Wol.
1%
24°C
$61 Wol.
8%
25°C
$208 Wol.
9%
26°C
$0 Wol.
32%
27°C
$7 Wol.
31%
28°C
$53 Wol.
22%
29°C
$0 Wol.
5%
30°C
$42 Wol.
8%
31°C or higher
$42 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23, reflecting subtle differences in short-range forecast guidance. Subtropical summer conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon and variable tropical moisture typically produce nighttime lows near 26–28°C, with cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts able to alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model ensembles diverge modestly on the extent of overnight clearing versus lingering humidity ahead of any weak disturbances. The Hong Kong Observatory’s updated analyses and observational verification will refine these probabilities in the final 48 hours, as traders weigh historical late-August baselines against current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,219Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23, reflecting subtle differences in short-range forecast guidance. Subtropical summer conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon and variable tropical moisture typically produce nighttime lows near 26–28°C, with cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts able to alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model ensembles diverge modestly on the extent of overnight clearing versus lingering humidity ahead of any weak disturbances. The Hong Kong Observatory’s updated analyses and observational verification will refine these probabilities in the final 48 hours, as traders weigh historical late-August baselines against current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,219Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes for Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23, reflecting subtle differences in short-range forecast guidance. Subtropical summer conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon and variable tropical moisture typically produce nighttime lows near 26–28°C, with cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind shifts able to alter the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Recent model ensembles diverge modestly on the extent of overnight clearing versus lingering humidity ahead of any weak disturbances. The Hong Kong Observatory’s updated analyses and observational verification will refine these probabilities in the final 48 hours, as traders weigh historical late-August baselines against current atmospheric setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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