Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Hong Kong's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official observational data confirming this exact value as the absolute daily maximum, recorded via standard meteorological instruments at the King's Park station. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecast models projecting 27–28°C amid mainly fine conditions and early May climatological norms of around 28°C average highs, influenced by subtropical high-pressure influence and normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures. While HKO data carries high reliability, realistic challenges could include post-preliminary quality control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or recalibrations, though such occurrences are exceedingly rare for finalized daily extracts. Market awaits final resolution per HKO criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$357,563 Wol.
$357,563 Wol.
May 2, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$357,563 Wol.
$357,563 Wol.
May 2, 2026
21°C or below
$4,318 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,265 Wol.
No
23°C
$5,392 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,460 Wol.
No
25°C
$11,421 Wol.
No
26°C
$155,933 Wol.
No
27°C
$47,252 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$62,529 Wol.
No
29°C
$35,509 Wol.
No
30°C
$17,021 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$11,464 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Hong Kong's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official observational data confirming this exact value as the absolute daily maximum, recorded via standard meteorological instruments at the King's Park station. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecast models projecting 27–28°C amid mainly fine conditions and early May climatological norms of around 28°C average highs, influenced by subtropical high-pressure influence and normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures. While HKO data carries high reliability, realistic challenges could include post-preliminary quality control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or recalibrations, though such occurrences are exceedingly rare for finalized daily extracts. Market awaits final resolution per HKO criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$357,563Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Hong Kong's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official observational data confirming this exact value as the absolute daily maximum, recorded via standard meteorological instruments at the King's Park station. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecast models projecting 27–28°C amid mainly fine conditions and early May climatological norms of around 28°C average highs, influenced by subtropical high-pressure influence and normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures. While HKO data carries high reliability, realistic challenges could include post-preliminary quality control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or recalibrations, though such occurrences are exceedingly rare for finalized daily extracts. Market awaits final resolution per HKO criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$357,563Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Hong Kong's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official observational data confirming this exact value as the absolute daily maximum, recorded via standard meteorological instruments at the King's Park station. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecast models projecting 27–28°C amid mainly fine conditions and early May climatological norms of around 28°C average highs, influenced by subtropical high-pressure influence and normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures. While HKO data carries high reliability, realistic challenges could include post-preliminary quality control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or recalibrations, though such occurrences are exceedingly rare for finalized daily extracts. Market awaits final resolution per HKO criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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