Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on July 19?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 19?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$27,233 Wol.
$27,233 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$27,233 Wol.
$27,233 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
83°F or below
$413 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$370 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$1,415 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$884 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$2,124 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$5,787 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$7,278 Wol.
Yes
96-97°F
$3,482 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$2,852 Wol.
No
100-101°F
$1,542 Wol.
No
102°F or higher
$1,085 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,233Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$27,233Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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