Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,341 Wol.
$38,341 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,341 Wol.
$38,341 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$389 Wol.
No
20°C
$871 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,885 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,780 Wol.
No
23°C
$10,229 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$7,936 Wol.
No
25°C
$3,662 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,046 Wol.
No
27°C
$3,581 Wol.
No
28°C
$661 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$2,301 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,341Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$38,341Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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