Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$223,428 Wol.
$223,428 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$223,428 Wol.
$223,428 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
27°C or below
$6,643 Wol.
No
28°C
$68,518 Wol.
No
29°C
$11,677 Wol.
No
30°C
$11,066 Wol.
No
31°C
$29,686 Wol.
No
32°C
$38,920 Wol.
No
33°C
$25,885 Wol.
No
34°C
$14,196 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$6,518 Wol.
No
36°C
$4,311 Wol.
No
37°C or higher
$6,008 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$223,428Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$223,428Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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