Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 4?
Highest temperature in London on May 4?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$347,218 Wol.
$347,218 Wol.
May 4, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$347,218 Wol.
$347,218 Wol.
May 4, 2026
12°C or below
$4,270 Wol.
No
13°C
$3,233 Wol.
No
14°C
$5,791 Wol.
No
15°C
$110,289 Wol.
Yes
16°C
$69,072 Wol.
No
17°C
$55,665 Wol.
No
18°C
$31,470 Wol.
No
19°C
$30,859 Wol.
No
20°C
$19,216 Wol.
No
21°C
$11,316 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$6,037 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Wolumen
$347,218Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$347,218Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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