Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$84,912 Wol.
$84,912 Wol.
May 1, 2026
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$84,912 Wol.
$84,912 Wol.
May 1, 2026
34°C or below
$14,386 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$5,560 Wol.
No
36°C
$8,898 Wol.
No
37°C
$8,225 Wol.
No
38°C
$13,112 Wol.
No
39°C
$14,709 Wol.
No
40°C
$12,622 Wol.
No
41°C
$2,834 Wol.
No
42°C
$1,001 Wol.
No
43°C
$1,185 Wol.
No
44°C or higher
$2,381 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$84,912Data zakończenia
May 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$84,912Data zakończenia
May 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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