Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$55,965 Wol.
$55,965 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$55,965 Wol.
$55,965 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
28°C or below
$5,694 Wol.
No
29°C
$14,145 Wol.
Yes
30°C
$9,253 Wol.
No
31°C
$8,325 Wol.
No
32°C
$7,695 Wol.
No
33°C
$5,686 Wol.
No
34°C
$3,525 Wol.
No
35°C
$498 Wol.
No
36°C
$358 Wol.
No
37°C
$299 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$488 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$55,965Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$55,965Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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