**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.** This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on June 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 14?
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$85,507 Wol.
$85,507 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$85,507 Wol.
$85,507 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
$3,925 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$6,244 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$17,856 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$15,691 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$19,158 Wol.
Yes
92-93°F
$8,782 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$8,714 Wol.
No
96-97°F
$2,565 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$1,458 Wol.
No
100-101°F
$572 Wol.
No
102°F or higher
$541 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.**
This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$85,507Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.**
This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$85,507Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.** This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania