Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 20?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 20?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,921 Wol.
$48,921 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,921 Wol.
$48,921 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
23°C or below
$257 Wol.
No
24°C
$267 Wol.
No
25°C
$677 Wol.
No
26°C
$8,911 Wol.
No
27°C
$7,701 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,208 Wol.
No
29°C
$8,332 Wol.
Yes
30°C
$5,798 Wol.
No
31°C
$3,864 Wol.
No
32°C
$1,764 Wol.
No
33°C or higher
$9,141 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$48,921Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$48,921Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecast guidance from models and agencies points to a high near 29°C in Qingdao on July 20 under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers, consistent with the market's highest-implied probability for that outcome. Mid-July climatology for the coastal Shandong location features average daily maxima of 27–28°C moderated by the Yellow Sea, and current guidance shows limited intensification potential from weak steering flow and high humidity. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that could allow 30–31°C readings; ensemble spreads remain wide only two days ahead. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow historical range and typical marine influence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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