Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,195 Wol.
$36,195 Wol.
Jun 16, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,195 Wol.
$36,195 Wol.
Jun 16, 2026
20°C or below
$1,256 Wol.
No
21°C
$561 Wol.
No
22°C
$504 Wol.
No
23°C
$742 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,197 Wol.
No
25°C
$2,162 Wol.
No
26°C
$4,356 Wol.
No
27°C
$12,226 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$6,712 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,807 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,671 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,195Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$36,195Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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