Ensemble weather models from official agencies indicate Shanghai's August 3 peak will hinge on subtropical high pressure strength and steering flow, with current runs favoring 34–35°C highs amid typical summer humidity and light winds. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover could push readings toward the higher end, while any increased moisture or sea breeze might cap them near 34°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in model outputs creates tight trader spreads between these outcomes. Updated runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 3?
35°C 39%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
39%
36°C
11%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 39%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
$247 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$130 Wol.
1%
31°C
$145 Wol.
2%
32°C
$284 Wol.
4%
33°C
$489 Wol.
18%
34°C
$807 Wol.
33%
35°C
$1,174 Wol.
39%
36°C
$261 Wol.
11%
37°C
$1,460 Wol.
1%
38°C
$106 Wol.
2%
39°C or higher
$772 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble weather models from official agencies indicate Shanghai's August 3 peak will hinge on subtropical high pressure strength and steering flow, with current runs favoring 34–35°C highs amid typical summer humidity and light winds. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover could push readings toward the higher end, while any increased moisture or sea breeze might cap them near 34°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in model outputs creates tight trader spreads between these outcomes. Updated runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,874Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble weather models from official agencies indicate Shanghai's August 3 peak will hinge on subtropical high pressure strength and steering flow, with current runs favoring 34–35°C highs amid typical summer humidity and light winds. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover could push readings toward the higher end, while any increased moisture or sea breeze might cap them near 34°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in model outputs creates tight trader spreads between these outcomes. Updated runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,874Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from official agencies indicate Shanghai's August 3 peak will hinge on subtropical high pressure strength and steering flow, with current runs favoring 34–35°C highs amid typical summer humidity and light winds. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover could push readings toward the higher end, while any increased moisture or sea breeze might cap them near 34°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in model outputs creates tight trader spreads between these outcomes. Updated runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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