Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 29?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$102,827 Wol.
$102,827 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$102,827 Wol.
$102,827 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
20°C or below
$1,061 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,616 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,409 Wol.
No
23°C
$2,743 Wol.
No
24°C
$2,544 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,834 Wol.
No
26°C
$6,099 Wol.
No
27°C
$34,056 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$20,360 Wol.
No
29°C
$22,611 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$8,493 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$102,827Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$102,827Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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