Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 12?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$77,900 Wol.
$77,900 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$77,900 Wol.
$77,900 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
28°C or below
$3,120 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,981 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,284 Wol.
No
31°C
$986 Wol.
No
32°C
$11,326 Wol.
No
33°C
$16,408 Wol.
No
34°C
$8,183 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$10,786 Wol.
No
36°C
$11,058 Wol.
No
37°C
$7,372 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,395 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$77,900Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$77,900Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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