Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 16?
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$123,385 Wol.
$123,385 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$123,385 Wol.
$123,385 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$3,049 Wol.
No
26°C
$26,588 Wol.
No
27°C
$26,544 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$16,814 Wol.
No
29°C
$10,559 Wol.
No
30°C
$9,532 Wol.
No
31°C
$7,852 Wol.
No
32°C
$10,837 Wol.
No
33°C
$5,820 Wol.
No
34°C
$4,117 Wol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,672 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$123,385Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$123,385Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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