Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 19, keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered near 30–32°C and supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. High regional humidity above 75% and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms limit strong surface heating while steering patterns introduce timing uncertainty for convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover near 32°C, yet current conditions align with the observed clustering around 30–31°C in prior daily markets. Updated model runs and official guidance through July 18–19 will refine the resolution band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 19?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$85,082 Wol.
$85,082 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$85,082 Wol.
$85,082 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
25°C or below
$195 Wol.
No
26°C
$305 Wol.
No
27°C
$11,322 Wol.
No
28°C
$10,479 Wol.
No
29°C
$12,374 Wol.
No
30°C
$12,303 Wol.
No
31°C
$8,549 Wol.
Yes
32°C
$12,031 Wol.
No
33°C
$8,780 Wol.
No
34°C
$5,532 Wol.
No
35°C or higher
$3,213 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 19, keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered near 30–32°C and supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. High regional humidity above 75% and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms limit strong surface heating while steering patterns introduce timing uncertainty for convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover near 32°C, yet current conditions align with the observed clustering around 30–31°C in prior daily markets. Updated model runs and official guidance through July 18–19 will refine the resolution band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$85,082Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 19, keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered near 30–32°C and supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. High regional humidity above 75% and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms limit strong surface heating while steering patterns introduce timing uncertainty for convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover near 32°C, yet current conditions align with the observed clustering around 30–31°C in prior daily markets. Updated model runs and official guidance through July 18–19 will refine the resolution band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$85,082Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 19, keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered near 30–32°C and supporting the tight market spread among those three outcomes. High regional humidity above 75% and South China Sea sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms limit strong surface heating while steering patterns introduce timing uncertainty for convective activity that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover near 32°C, yet current conditions align with the observed clustering around 30–31°C in prior daily markets. Updated model runs and official guidance through July 18–19 will refine the resolution band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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