Trader consensus has converged on 30°C and 31°C as the most probable daily maxima for Tel Aviv on July 7, reflecting ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF that places the central tendency near the July climatological average of 30–32°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, which typically peaks in the afternoon and draws cooler Mediterranean air onshore, is the dominant moderating factor, while any strengthening of easterly Sharav flow from the interior could add 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show modest spread around these thresholds due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, leaving genuine uncertainty that traders price through the narrow 1°C gap. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 7?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 7?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$65,901 Wol.
$65,901 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$65,901 Wol.
$65,901 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
27°C or below
$2,509 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,948 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,422 Wol.
No
30°C
$19,695 Wol.
No
31°C
$20,274 Wol.
Yes
32°C
$4,979 Wol.
No
33°C
$4,267 Wol.
No
34°C
$4,320 Wol.
No
35°C
$2,441 Wol.
No
36°C
$408 Wol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,638 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on 30°C and 31°C as the most probable daily maxima for Tel Aviv on July 7, reflecting ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF that places the central tendency near the July climatological average of 30–32°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, which typically peaks in the afternoon and draws cooler Mediterranean air onshore, is the dominant moderating factor, while any strengthening of easterly Sharav flow from the interior could add 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show modest spread around these thresholds due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, leaving genuine uncertainty that traders price through the narrow 1°C gap. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$65,901Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on 30°C and 31°C as the most probable daily maxima for Tel Aviv on July 7, reflecting ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF that places the central tendency near the July climatological average of 30–32°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, which typically peaks in the afternoon and draws cooler Mediterranean air onshore, is the dominant moderating factor, while any strengthening of easterly Sharav flow from the interior could add 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show modest spread around these thresholds due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, leaving genuine uncertainty that traders price through the narrow 1°C gap. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$65,901Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has converged on 30°C and 31°C as the most probable daily maxima for Tel Aviv on July 7, reflecting ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF that places the central tendency near the July climatological average of 30–32°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, which typically peaks in the afternoon and draws cooler Mediterranean air onshore, is the dominant moderating factor, while any strengthening of easterly Sharav flow from the interior could add 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show modest spread around these thresholds due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, leaving genuine uncertainty that traders price through the narrow 1°C gap. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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