Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on June 13, 2026, from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 20–21°C amid thundery showers, light winds, and partly cloudy conditions. This strong model consensus, reinforced by morning observations near 19°C, underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide climatological context, but today's specific synoptic pattern favors the lower end. Only a major shift in steering winds or unforecast convective development could push the peak outside this narrow range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$58,278 Wol.
$58,278 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$58,278 Wol.
$58,278 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw on June 13, 2026, from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on a daytime maximum of 20–21°C amid thundery showers, light winds, and partly cloudy conditions. This strong model consensus, reinforced by morning observations near 19°C, underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide climatological context, but today's specific synoptic pattern favors the lower end. Only a major shift in steering winds or unforecast convective development could push the peak outside this narrow range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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