Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 5?
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Wol.
$250,697 Wol.
Jun 5, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$250,697 Wol.
$250,697 Wol.
Jun 5, 2026
11°C or below
$8,352 Wol.
No
12°C
$6,636 Wol.
No
13°C
$15,830 Wol.
No
14°C
$26,429 Wol.
No
15°C
$37,914 Wol.
No
16°C
$54,861 Wol.
No
17°C
$46,504 Wol.
No
18°C
$18,100 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$16,227 Wol.
No
20°C
$9,983 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$9,861 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$250,697Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$250,697Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent MetService forecasts and observational data from Wellington stations indicate peak daytime temperatures will reach 18°C on June 5 amid mild northerly airflow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions preventing significant cooling, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures for the region during early winter. Official monitoring from agencies like NIWA and MetService provides the verifiable measurements used for resolution, with historical June highs rarely exceeding 16–17°C under similar patterns. A sudden southerly shift or increased rainfall could lower the maximum below 18°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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