Latest MetService guidance projects an 18°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 31 under a stable northerly flow and partly cloudy regime typical of late autumn. This aligns with regional climatology, where cool maritime air from Cook Strait caps diurnal warming and produces low day-to-day variance. Numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around this value, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s near-certain pricing. A prolonged clear spell or abrupt wind shift could allow brief solar heating toward 19°C, while increased cloud or a frontal passage might hold the high at 17°C or below, though current observations and guidance indicate limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 31?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 31?
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$65,608 Wol.
$65,608 Wol.
May 31, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$65,608 Wol.
$65,608 Wol.
May 31, 2026
11°C or below
$492 Wol.
No
12°C
$886 Wol.
No
13°C
$431 Wol.
No
14°C
$3,606 Wol.
No
15°C
$6,586 Wol.
No
16°C
$8,442 Wol.
No
17°C
$8,760 Wol.
No
18°C
$11,483 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$8,563 Wol.
No
20°C
$6,929 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$9,430 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService guidance projects an 18°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 31 under a stable northerly flow and partly cloudy regime typical of late autumn. This aligns with regional climatology, where cool maritime air from Cook Strait caps diurnal warming and produces low day-to-day variance. Numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around this value, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s near-certain pricing. A prolonged clear spell or abrupt wind shift could allow brief solar heating toward 19°C, while increased cloud or a frontal passage might hold the high at 17°C or below, though current observations and guidance indicate limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$65,608Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService guidance projects an 18°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 31 under a stable northerly flow and partly cloudy regime typical of late autumn. This aligns with regional climatology, where cool maritime air from Cook Strait caps diurnal warming and produces low day-to-day variance. Numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around this value, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s near-certain pricing. A prolonged clear spell or abrupt wind shift could allow brief solar heating toward 19°C, while increased cloud or a frontal passage might hold the high at 17°C or below, though current observations and guidance indicate limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$65,608Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest MetService guidance projects an 18°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 31 under a stable northerly flow and partly cloudy regime typical of late autumn. This aligns with regional climatology, where cool maritime air from Cook Strait caps diurnal warming and produces low day-to-day variance. Numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around this value, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s near-certain pricing. A prolonged clear spell or abrupt wind shift could allow brief solar heating toward 19°C, while increased cloud or a frontal passage might hold the high at 17°C or below, though current observations and guidance indicate limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania