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icon for JD Vance out as VP by...?
Polityka·Trump Cabinet

JD Vance out as VP by...?

icon for JD Vance out as VP by...?
Polityka·Trump Cabinet

JD Vance out as VP by...?

$133,284 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$133,284 Wol.

Polymarket

June 15

$27,424 Wol.

<1%

June 30

$36,077 Wol.

1%

December 31

$69,783 Wol.

9%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance remains actively engaged in the Trump administration as of mid-June 2026, chairing a fraud task force, conducting press briefings, and handling diplomatic efforts including Iran negotiations. Recent reporting highlights internal GOP speculation over 2028 succession, with President Trump privately comparing Vance to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, alongside unconfirmed claims of Vance feeling isolated or weighing a pause on presidential ambitions. Vance has publicly dismissed such narratives and reaffirmed focus on current duties. No announcements, health concerns, or procedural steps point to resignation, removal, or replacement in the near term. The 2026 midterms and any evolving foreign policy outcomes represent the main scheduled events that could indirectly influence administration dynamics, though historical patterns show vice presidents typically serve full terms absent extraordinary developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$133,284
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance remains actively engaged in the Trump administration as of mid-June 2026, chairing a fraud task force, conducting press briefings, and handling diplomatic efforts including Iran negotiations. Recent reporting highlights internal GOP speculation over 2028 succession, with President Trump privately comparing Vance to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, alongside unconfirmed claims of Vance feeling isolated or weighing a pause on presidential ambitions. Vance has publicly dismissed such narratives and reaffirmed focus on current duties. No announcements, health concerns, or procedural steps point to resignation, removal, or replacement in the near term. The 2026 midterms and any evolving foreign policy outcomes represent the main scheduled events that could indirectly influence administration dynamics, though historical patterns show vice presidents typically serve full terms absent extraordinary developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$133,284
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"JD Vance out as VP by...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 3 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "December 31" z 9%, za nim "June 30" z 1%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 9¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 9% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "JD Vance out as VP by...?" wygenerował $133.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 27, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "JD Vance out as VP by...?", przeglądaj 3 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "JD Vance out as VP by...?" jest "December 31" z zaledwie 9%, a za nim "June 30" z 1%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.

Zasady rozstrzygania "JD Vance out as VP by...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.