Joaquin Niemann enters the final round of LIV Golf New York at Trump National Bedminster with a commanding multi-shot lead after opening rounds of 64 and 65, establishing him as the clear trader favorite at 69% implied probability. The Torque GC captain’s bogey-free start and consistent scoring have distanced him from the field, reflecting his status as LIV’s winningest individual player and 2025 MVP. Harold Varner III sits in second at 12-under while Lee Westwood and others trail further back, but Niemann’s recent dominance and course management give him the strongest path to a ninth LIV title. The market’s broad distribution across longshots like Phil Mickelson and Elvis Smylie at 50% captures the no-cut format’s potential for late surges, though Niemann’s current momentum underpins the consensus pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoElvis Smylie 100.0%
Phil Mickelson 100.0%
Joaquin Niemann 69%
Harold Varner III 21.7%
$24,257 Wol.
$24,257 Wol.
Elvis Smylie
100%
Phil Mickelson
100%
Joaquin Niemann
69%
Harold Varner III
22%
Louis Oosthuizen
20%
Talor Gooch
4%
Victor Perez
4%
Carlos Ortiz
4%
Jose Luis Ballester
4%
David Puig
4%
Marc Leishman
4%
Thomas Detry
4%
Bubba Watson
4%
Dean Burmester
4%
Sebastian Munoz
4%
Peter Uihlein
4%
Lee Westwood
3%
Tom McKibbin
3%
Lucas Herbert
3%
Thomas Pieters
3%
Cameron Smith
2%
Scott Vincent
2%
Paul Casey
2%
Tyrrell Hatton
2%
Jon Rahm
2%
Brendan Steele
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Michael La Sasso
2%
Ben Campbell
2%
Travis Smyth
2%
Abraham Ancer
2%
Charles Howell III
2%
Matthew Wolff
2%
Branden Grace
2%
Martin Vorster
2%
Cameron Tringale
2%
Richard T. Lee
2%
Adrian Meronk
2%
Anirban Lahiri
2%
Jason Kokrak
2%
Martin Kaymer
2%
Young-Han Song
2%
Luis Masaveu
2%
Bjoern Hellgren
2%
Sergio Garcia
2%
Danny Lee
2%
Graeme McDowell
2%
Sam Horsfield
2%
Min-Kyu Kim
1%
Byeong-Hun An
1%
Miguel Tabuena
1%
Do-Yeob Mun
1%
Laurie Canter
1%
Richard Bland
1%
Caleb Surratt
1%
Dustin Johnson
1%
Anthony Kim
1%
Charl Schwartzel
1%
Ian Poulter
1%
Yosuke Asaji
1%
Elvis Smylie 100.0%
Phil Mickelson 100.0%
Joaquin Niemann 69%
Harold Varner III 21.7%
$24,257 Wol.
$24,257 Wol.
Elvis Smylie
100%
Phil Mickelson
100%
Joaquin Niemann
69%
Harold Varner III
22%
Louis Oosthuizen
20%
Talor Gooch
4%
Victor Perez
4%
Carlos Ortiz
4%
Jose Luis Ballester
4%
David Puig
4%
Marc Leishman
4%
Thomas Detry
4%
Bubba Watson
4%
Dean Burmester
4%
Sebastian Munoz
4%
Peter Uihlein
4%
Lee Westwood
3%
Tom McKibbin
3%
Lucas Herbert
3%
Thomas Pieters
3%
Cameron Smith
2%
Scott Vincent
2%
Paul Casey
2%
Tyrrell Hatton
2%
Jon Rahm
2%
Brendan Steele
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Michael La Sasso
2%
Ben Campbell
2%
Travis Smyth
2%
Abraham Ancer
2%
Charles Howell III
2%
Matthew Wolff
2%
Branden Grace
2%
Martin Vorster
2%
Cameron Tringale
2%
Richard T. Lee
2%
Adrian Meronk
2%
Anirban Lahiri
2%
Jason Kokrak
2%
Martin Kaymer
2%
Young-Han Song
2%
Luis Masaveu
2%
Bjoern Hellgren
2%
Sergio Garcia
2%
Danny Lee
2%
Graeme McDowell
2%
Sam Horsfield
2%
Min-Kyu Kim
1%
Byeong-Hun An
1%
Miguel Tabuena
1%
Do-Yeob Mun
1%
Laurie Canter
1%
Richard Bland
1%
Caleb Surratt
1%
Dustin Johnson
1%
Anthony Kim
1%
Charl Schwartzel
1%
Ian Poulter
1%
Yosuke Asaji
1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.livgolf.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.livgolf.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Joaquin Niemann enters the final round of LIV Golf New York at Trump National Bedminster with a commanding multi-shot lead after opening rounds of 64 and 65, establishing him as the clear trader favorite at 69% implied probability. The Torque GC captain’s bogey-free start and consistent scoring have distanced him from the field, reflecting his status as LIV’s winningest individual player and 2025 MVP. Harold Varner III sits in second at 12-under while Lee Westwood and others trail further back, but Niemann’s recent dominance and course management give him the strongest path to a ninth LIV title. The market’s broad distribution across longshots like Phil Mickelson and Elvis Smylie at 50% captures the no-cut format’s potential for late surges, though Niemann’s current momentum underpins the consensus pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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