Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on June 30, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect, typical for LaGuardia and Central Park stations, further supports readings in the upper 60s to low 70s rather than cooler rural analogs. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly between 68-73°F, traders weigh minor differences among ensemble members regarding wind speeds and cloud cover that could trim or sustain the low. Historical June minima average around 65-68°F, but the current warm pattern has kept recent overnight lows elevated, aligning trader sentiment with the latest forecast consensus ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on June 30?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 30?
74-75°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$27,220 Wol.
$27,220 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$27,220 Wol.
$27,220 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
59°F or below
$1,543 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$1,455 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$1,360 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$2,263 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$1,025 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$2,245 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$4,546 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$1,999 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$3,521 Wol.
Yes
76-77°F
$2,373 Wol.
No
78°F or higher
$4,892 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on June 30, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect, typical for LaGuardia and Central Park stations, further supports readings in the upper 60s to low 70s rather than cooler rural analogs. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly between 68-73°F, traders weigh minor differences among ensemble members regarding wind speeds and cloud cover that could trim or sustain the low. Historical June minima average around 65-68°F, but the current warm pattern has kept recent overnight lows elevated, aligning trader sentiment with the latest forecast consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 28, 2026, 10:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,220Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 10:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on June 30, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect, typical for LaGuardia and Central Park stations, further supports readings in the upper 60s to low 70s rather than cooler rural analogs. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly between 68-73°F, traders weigh minor differences among ensemble members regarding wind speeds and cloud cover that could trim or sustain the low. Historical June minima average around 65-68°F, but the current warm pattern has kept recent overnight lows elevated, aligning trader sentiment with the latest forecast consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$27,220Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 10:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on June 30, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect, typical for LaGuardia and Central Park stations, further supports readings in the upper 60s to low 70s rather than cooler rural analogs. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly between 68-73°F, traders weigh minor differences among ensemble members regarding wind speeds and cloud cover that could trim or sustain the low. Historical June minima average around 65-68°F, but the current warm pattern has kept recent overnight lows elevated, aligning trader sentiment with the latest forecast consensus ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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