Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 7, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal overnight cooling under seasonal late-summer conditions. This consensus explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–21°C range, though spread in ensemble predictions and potential for localized cloud increases or subtle humidity shifts introduce uncertainty that supports the notable probability on 17°C or below. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical September minima averaging around 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight low recorded by local stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 7?
17°C or below 69%
27°C or higher 59%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
17°C or below
69%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
30%
21°C
34%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
18%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
59%
17°C or below 69%
27°C or higher 59%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Wol.
69%
18°C
$0 Wol.
49%
19°C
$0 Wol.
49%
20°C
$0 Wol.
30%
21°C
$0 Wol.
34%
22°C
$0 Wol.
26%
23°C
$0 Wol.
49%
24°C
$0 Wol.
49%
25°C
$0 Wol.
18%
26°C
$0 Wol.
2%
27°C or higher
$0 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 7, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal overnight cooling under seasonal late-summer conditions. This consensus explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–21°C range, though spread in ensemble predictions and potential for localized cloud increases or subtle humidity shifts introduce uncertainty that supports the notable probability on 17°C or below. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical September minima averaging around 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight low recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 7, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal overnight cooling under seasonal late-summer conditions. This consensus explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–21°C range, though spread in ensemble predictions and potential for localized cloud increases or subtle humidity shifts introduce uncertainty that supports the notable probability on 17°C or below. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical September minima averaging around 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight low recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from China's National Meteorological Center and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 7, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal overnight cooling under seasonal late-summer conditions. This consensus explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–21°C range, though spread in ensemble predictions and potential for localized cloud increases or subtle humidity shifts introduce uncertainty that supports the notable probability on 17°C or below. Traders weigh these near-term model runs against historical September minima averaging around 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight low recorded by local stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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