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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 36.6%

No Bond chosen 23.1%

Callum Turner 16.1%

Harris Dickinson 7.4%

Polymarket

$1,054,013 Wol.

Jack Lowden 36.6%

No Bond chosen 23.1%

Callum Turner 16.1%

Harris Dickinson 7.4%

Polymarket

$1,054,013 Wol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$176,816 Wol.

37%

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$464,095 Wol.

23%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$79,360 Wol.

16%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$19,736 Wol.

7%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$47,691 Wol.

7%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$12,805 Wol.

3%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$13,706 Wol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$13,867 Wol.

1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$24,411 Wol.

1%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$25,248 Wol.

1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$17,639 Wol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$13,446 Wol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$31,503 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$15,252 Wol.

<1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$10,742 Wol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$12,034 Wol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$15,425 Wol.

<1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$10,117 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$7,139 Wol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$10,609 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$9,593 Wol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$7,241 Wol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$8,720 Wol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$6,820 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden has emerged as the clear market leader among contenders for the next James Bond due to his recent surge in industry chatter and shortlist positioning, fueled by co-star Gary Oldman’s public endorsement and Lowden’s established spy-thriller credentials from Slow Horses. Callum Turner remains a strong second amid lingering buzz from his high-profile marriage and earlier frontrunner status, while relative unknowns like Jack Barton and Harris Dickinson reflect the studio’s reported preference for fresh or enigmatic talent over more exposed stars. Producer Amy Pascal’s signal that an announcement could arrive by year-end, combined with ongoing screen tests under Denis Villeneuve and Steven Knight’s script, sustains uncertainty around the “no choice yet” outcome and keeps probabilities fluid ahead of any official reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,054,013
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden has emerged as the clear market leader among contenders for the next James Bond due to his recent surge in industry chatter and shortlist positioning, fueled by co-star Gary Oldman’s public endorsement and Lowden’s established spy-thriller credentials from Slow Horses. Callum Turner remains a strong second amid lingering buzz from his high-profile marriage and earlier frontrunner status, while relative unknowns like Jack Barton and Harris Dickinson reflect the studio’s reported preference for fresh or enigmatic talent over more exposed stars. Producer Amy Pascal’s signal that an announcement could arrive by year-end, combined with ongoing screen tests under Denis Villeneuve and Steven Knight’s script, sustains uncertainty around the “no choice yet” outcome and keeps probabilities fluid ahead of any official reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,054,013
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47de9d...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next James Bond actor?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 24 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jack Lowden" z 37%, za nim "No Bond chosen" z 23%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 37¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 37% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Next James Bond actor?" wygenerował $1.1 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 18, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Next James Bond actor?", przeglądaj 24 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next James Bond actor?" jest "Jack Lowden" z 37%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 37% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "No Bond chosen" z 23%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next James Bond actor?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.