Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of April 13 between $90-$100, reflecting the verified Nasdaq close of $97.31 on Friday, April 17—down nearly 10% from the prior day's $107.79 amid elevated trading volume of 125 million shares. This sharp repricing followed Q1 2026 earnings released after market close on April 16, where revenue beat estimates at $12.25 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and diluted EPS hit $1.23, boosted by a $2.8 billion Warner Bros. Discovery merger termination fee; however, Q2 guidance disappointed with projected EPS of $0.78 below the $0.84 consensus, alongside co-founder Reed Hastings' board departure announcement. Absent data revisions or official adjustments, resolution appears locked in, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in pricing observed fundamentals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$90-$100 100.0%
<$60 <1%
$60-$70 <1%
$70-$80 <1%
$222,298 Wol.
$222,298 Wol.
<$60
<1%
$60-$70
<1%
$70-$80
<1%
$80-$90
<1%
$90-$100
100%
$100-$110
<1%
$110-$120
<1%
$120-$130
<1%
$130-$140
<1%
$140-$150
<1%
>$150
<1%
$90-$100 100.0%
<$60 <1%
$60-$70 <1%
$70-$80 <1%
$222,298 Wol.
$222,298 Wol.
<$60
<1%
$60-$70
<1%
$70-$80
<1%
$80-$90
<1%
$90-$100
100%
$100-$110
<1%
$110-$120
<1%
$120-$130
<1%
$130-$140
<1%
$140-$150
<1%
>$150
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Rynek otwarty: Apr 10, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Okno sporu
Ostateczny
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Okno sporu
Ostateczny
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of April 13 between $90-$100, reflecting the verified Nasdaq close of $97.31 on Friday, April 17—down nearly 10% from the prior day's $107.79 amid elevated trading volume of 125 million shares. This sharp repricing followed Q1 2026 earnings released after market close on April 16, where revenue beat estimates at $12.25 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and diluted EPS hit $1.23, boosted by a $2.8 billion Warner Bros. Discovery merger termination fee; however, Q2 guidance disappointed with projected EPS of $0.78 below the $0.84 consensus, alongside co-founder Reed Hastings' board departure announcement. Absent data revisions or official adjustments, resolution appears locked in, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in pricing observed fundamentals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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