Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPrecipitation in London in May?
Precipitation in London in May?
<5mm 100.0%
5-10mm <1%
10-15mm <1%
15-20mm <1%
$29,939 Wol.
$29,939 Wol.
May 31, 2026
<5mm
Yes
5-10mm
No
10-15mm
No
15-20mm
No
20-25mm
No
25-30mm
No
30mm+
No
<5mm 100.0%
5-10mm <1%
10-15mm <1%
15-20mm <1%
$29,939 Wol.
$29,939 Wol.
May 31, 2026
<5mm
$13,486 Wol.
Yes
5-10mm
$9,128 Wol.
No
10-15mm
$841 Wol.
No
15-20mm
$779 Wol.
No
20-25mm
$1,477 Wol.
No
25-30mm
$2,364 Wol.
No
30mm+
$1,863 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Wolumen
$29,939Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$29,939Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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