**Sam Altman has publicly endorsed the core idea of pacing frontier AI development but shows no sign of signing the employee-driven "Pacing the Frontier" statement by the September 30 deadline.** Launched in July 2026 and signed by over 1,300 verified staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, and peers, the statement calls for U.S.-backed international tools to coordinate potential slowdowns in automated AI research without halting progress. Altman declined to sign at launch and remains outside the employee-only verification process. While his mid-September X posts agreeing with Dario Amodei’s essay and committing OpenAI to embedded third-party evaluators signal alignment on safety oversight and “pacing” (distinct from stopping), these steps fall short of formally adding his name to the original petition. With only 15 days remaining and no reported movement toward signature, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at 80% implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
21% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
21% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sam Altman has publicly endorsed the core idea of pacing frontier AI development but shows no sign of signing the employee-driven "Pacing the Frontier" statement by the September 30 deadline.**
Launched in July 2026 and signed by over 1,300 verified staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, and peers, the statement calls for U.S.-backed international tools to coordinate potential slowdowns in automated AI research without halting progress. Altman declined to sign at launch and remains outside the employee-only verification process. While his mid-September X posts agreeing with Dario Amodei’s essay and committing OpenAI to embedded third-party evaluators signal alignment on safety oversight and “pacing” (distinct from stopping), these steps fall short of formally adding his name to the original petition. With only 15 days remaining and no reported movement toward signature, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at 80% implied probability.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$625Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sam Altman has publicly endorsed the core idea of pacing frontier AI development but shows no sign of signing the employee-driven "Pacing the Frontier" statement by the September 30 deadline.**
Launched in July 2026 and signed by over 1,300 verified staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, and peers, the statement calls for U.S.-backed international tools to coordinate potential slowdowns in automated AI research without halting progress. Altman declined to sign at launch and remains outside the employee-only verification process. While his mid-September X posts agreeing with Dario Amodei’s essay and committing OpenAI to embedded third-party evaluators signal alignment on safety oversight and “pacing” (distinct from stopping), these steps fall short of formally adding his name to the original petition. With only 15 days remaining and no reported movement toward signature, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at 80% implied probability.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$625Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Sam Altman has publicly endorsed the core idea of pacing frontier AI development but shows no sign of signing the employee-driven "Pacing the Frontier" statement by the September 30 deadline.** Launched in July 2026 and signed by over 1,300 verified staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, and peers, the statement calls for U.S.-backed international tools to coordinate potential slowdowns in automated AI research without halting progress. Altman declined to sign at launch and remains outside the employee-only verification process. While his mid-September X posts agreeing with Dario Amodei’s essay and committing OpenAI to embedded third-party evaluators signal alignment on safety oversight and “pacing” (distinct from stopping), these steps fall short of formally adding his name to the original petition. With only 15 days remaining and no reported movement toward signature, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at 80% implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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