The S&P 500 closed at 7,631.47 on September 1, 2026, after pulling back from August highs near 7,817 amid elevated Treasury yields above 4.7% and sticky inflation pressures tied to energy costs. Strong corporate earnings growth, fueled by AI capital expenditures and projected at 25%+ for the full year, has anchored market-implied odds near current levels, though narrow leadership in mega-cap tech remains a key vulnerability. The Federal Reserve's target range of 3.50%-3.75% faces scrutiny at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where a 25-basis-point hike remains possible if inflation data fails to moderate. Geopolitical factors and upcoming economic releases will likely influence trader positioning through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$333,118 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
2%
↑ $9,300
4%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,600
8%
↑ $8,200
32%
↑ $8,000
60%
↓ $7,400
62%
↓ $7,200
71%
↓ $7,000
42%
↓ $6,200
15%
↓ $6,000
13%
↓ $5,800
8%
↓ $5,200
6%
↓ $4,500
3%
$333,118 Wol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Wol.
2%
↑ $9,300
$9,488 Wol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$68 Wol.
3%
↑ $8,600
$30,604 Wol.
8%
↑ $8,200
$23,394 Wol.
32%
↑ $8,000
$489 Wol.
60%
↓ $7,400
$0 Wol.
62%
↓ $7,200
$0 Wol.
71%
↓ $7,000
$343 Wol.
42%
↓ $6,200
$48,459 Wol.
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,779 Wol.
13%
↓ $5,800
$41,770 Wol.
8%
↓ $5,200
$56,004 Wol.
6%
↓ $4,500
$59,566 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,631.47 on September 1, 2026, after pulling back from August highs near 7,817 amid elevated Treasury yields above 4.7% and sticky inflation pressures tied to energy costs. Strong corporate earnings growth, fueled by AI capital expenditures and projected at 25%+ for the full year, has anchored market-implied odds near current levels, though narrow leadership in mega-cap tech remains a key vulnerability. The Federal Reserve's target range of 3.50%-3.75% faces scrutiny at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where a 25-basis-point hike remains possible if inflation data fails to moderate. Geopolitical factors and upcoming economic releases will likely influence trader positioning through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$333,118Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,631.47 on September 1, 2026, after pulling back from August highs near 7,817 amid elevated Treasury yields above 4.7% and sticky inflation pressures tied to energy costs. Strong corporate earnings growth, fueled by AI capital expenditures and projected at 25%+ for the full year, has anchored market-implied odds near current levels, though narrow leadership in mega-cap tech remains a key vulnerability. The Federal Reserve's target range of 3.50%-3.75% faces scrutiny at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where a 25-basis-point hike remains possible if inflation data fails to moderate. Geopolitical factors and upcoming economic releases will likely influence trader positioning through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Wolumen
$333,118Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 7,631.47 on September 1, 2026, after pulling back from August highs near 7,817 amid elevated Treasury yields above 4.7% and sticky inflation pressures tied to energy costs. Strong corporate earnings growth, fueled by AI capital expenditures and projected at 25%+ for the full year, has anchored market-implied odds near current levels, though narrow leadership in mega-cap tech remains a key vulnerability. The Federal Reserve's target range of 3.50%-3.75% faces scrutiny at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where a 25-basis-point hike remains possible if inflation data fails to moderate. Geopolitical factors and upcoming economic releases will likely influence trader positioning through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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