Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price President Trump's job approval rating below 39% on May 8 at near-certainty, mirroring the latest polling averages from Nate Silver's daily bulletin and RealClearPolitics, which pegged it in the mid-30s based on surveys through May 7. This commanding consensus reflects a sharp downward trend fueled by voter discontent over the protracted Iran war, record-high gas and food prices, and inflation handling, as captured in fresh Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos data showing 62% disapproval—Trump's worst in his second term—and Forbes-HarrisX registering just 41% approval. While consistent multi-poll aggregates lock in the sub-39% outcome, a rare post hoc adjustment to the resolution source or outlier late-release poll could theoretically shift it, though historical precedents make this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<39.0 100.0%
39.0–39.4 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$41,665 Wol.
$41,665 Wol.
May 9, 2026
<39.0
Yes
39.0–39.4
No
39.5–39.9
No
40.0–40.4
No
40.5–40.9
No
41.0+
No
<39.0 100.0%
39.0–39.4 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$41,665 Wol.
$41,665 Wol.
May 9, 2026
<39.0
$18,095 Wol.
Yes
39.0–39.4
$10,946 Wol.
No
39.5–39.9
$5,838 Wol.
No
40.0–40.4
$2,622 Wol.
No
40.5–40.9
$2,063 Wol.
No
41.0+
$2,102 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 8, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price President Trump's job approval rating below 39% on May 8 at near-certainty, mirroring the latest polling averages from Nate Silver's daily bulletin and RealClearPolitics, which pegged it in the mid-30s based on surveys through May 7. This commanding consensus reflects a sharp downward trend fueled by voter discontent over the protracted Iran war, record-high gas and food prices, and inflation handling, as captured in fresh Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos data showing 62% disapproval—Trump's worst in his second term—and Forbes-HarrisX registering just 41% approval. While consistent multi-poll aggregates lock in the sub-39% outcome, a rare post hoc adjustment to the resolution source or outlier late-release poll could theoretically shift it, though historical precedents make this improbable.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 8, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$41,665Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 8, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price President Trump's job approval rating below 39% on May 8 at near-certainty, mirroring the latest polling averages from Nate Silver's daily bulletin and RealClearPolitics, which pegged it in the mid-30s based on surveys through May 7. This commanding consensus reflects a sharp downward trend fueled by voter discontent over the protracted Iran war, record-high gas and food prices, and inflation handling, as captured in fresh Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos data showing 62% disapproval—Trump's worst in his second term—and Forbes-HarrisX registering just 41% approval. While consistent multi-poll aggregates lock in the sub-39% outcome, a rare post hoc adjustment to the resolution source or outlier late-release poll could theoretically shift it, though historical precedents make this improbable.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 8, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$41,665Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price President Trump's job approval rating below 39% on May 8 at near-certainty, mirroring the latest polling averages from Nate Silver's daily bulletin and RealClearPolitics, which pegged it in the mid-30s based on surveys through May 7. This commanding consensus reflects a sharp downward trend fueled by voter discontent over the protracted Iran war, record-high gas and food prices, and inflation handling, as captured in fresh Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos data showing 62% disapproval—Trump's worst in his second term—and Forbes-HarrisX registering just 41% approval. While consistent multi-poll aggregates lock in the sub-39% outcome, a rare post hoc adjustment to the resolution source or outlier late-release poll could theoretically shift it, though historical precedents make this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania