Washington’s nonpartisan top-two primary for the 3rd congressional district is set for August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having closed in early May. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun secured the Republican nomination slot, drawing Trump endorsement and NRCC backing, which has anchored trader expectations for his advancement. Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez maintains strong name recognition and a fundraising advantage in the R+2 district she narrowly held in 2024. Other Democratic entrants, including Brent Hennrich, have not consolidated support, contributing to signals of vote fragmentation on that side. Market positioning reflects these structural factors ahead of the August contest and any final candidate withdrawals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$42,759 Wol.
John Braun
94%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
88%
Brent Hennrich
20%
Antony Barran
16%
Lawrence Kellogg
6%
Eric Vaughan
3%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
1%
$42,759 Wol.
John Braun
94%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
88%
Brent Hennrich
20%
Antony Barran
16%
Lawrence Kellogg
6%
Eric Vaughan
3%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Washington’s nonpartisan top-two primary for the 3rd congressional district is set for August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having closed in early May. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun secured the Republican nomination slot, drawing Trump endorsement and NRCC backing, which has anchored trader expectations for his advancement. Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez maintains strong name recognition and a fundraising advantage in the R+2 district she narrowly held in 2024. Other Democratic entrants, including Brent Hennrich, have not consolidated support, contributing to signals of vote fragmentation on that side. Market positioning reflects these structural factors ahead of the August contest and any final candidate withdrawals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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