Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62.5% implied probability due to record domestic pre-sales exceeding $50 million 100 days before its December 18 release, driven by strong early premium-format demand and tracking for a $260–300 million opening weekend. This positions the MCU event film to challenge or surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s existing $360 million record opening weekend from July 31, especially amid holiday timing and franchise momentum. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 36.5% as the current benchmark with its historic debut and strong legs, but its summer release lacks the same extended pre-sale runway. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain near 0.1% given more modest tracking and competition on shared or adjacent dates. Key upcoming catalysts include further pre-sale updates and December box office data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$165,125 Wol.
$165,125 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$165,125 Wol.
$165,125 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$71,045 Wol.
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$61,144 Wol.
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Wol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62.5% implied probability due to record domestic pre-sales exceeding $50 million 100 days before its December 18 release, driven by strong early premium-format demand and tracking for a $260–300 million opening weekend. This positions the MCU event film to challenge or surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s existing $360 million record opening weekend from July 31, especially amid holiday timing and franchise momentum. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 36.5% as the current benchmark with its historic debut and strong legs, but its summer release lacks the same extended pre-sale runway. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain near 0.1% given more modest tracking and competition on shared or adjacent dates. Key upcoming catalysts include further pre-sale updates and December box office data.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$165,125Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62.5% implied probability due to record domestic pre-sales exceeding $50 million 100 days before its December 18 release, driven by strong early premium-format demand and tracking for a $260–300 million opening weekend. This positions the MCU event film to challenge or surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s existing $360 million record opening weekend from July 31, especially amid holiday timing and franchise momentum. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 36.5% as the current benchmark with its historic debut and strong legs, but its summer release lacks the same extended pre-sale runway. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain near 0.1% given more modest tracking and competition on shared or adjacent dates. Key upcoming catalysts include further pre-sale updates and December box office data.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$165,125Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62.5% implied probability due to record domestic pre-sales exceeding $50 million 100 days before its December 18 release, driven by strong early premium-format demand and tracking for a $260–300 million opening weekend. This positions the MCU event film to challenge or surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s existing $360 million record opening weekend from July 31, especially amid holiday timing and franchise momentum. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 36.5% as the current benchmark with its historic debut and strong legs, but its summer release lacks the same extended pre-sale runway. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain near 0.1% given more modest tracking and competition on shared or adjacent dates. Key upcoming catalysts include further pre-sale updates and December box office data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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