Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary with trader consensus at 77.5 percent, driven by her profile as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official with experience on the National Security Council and at CISA, which has drawn endorsements from county leaders and substantial outside support ahead of the June 23 vote. Beth Davidson holds 21.5 percent as the main local alternative, backed by her record as a Rockland County legislator and recent endorsements from prior candidates in the race. The contest has featured attacks on Conley's recent district residency and funding sources, alongside reported Republican-linked spending aimed at blocking her nomination, reflecting assessments of her strength against incumbent Mike Lawler. Minor candidates trail with under 2 percent combined.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCait Conley 100.0%
Beth Davidson <1%
Effie Phillips-Staley <1%
Mike Sacks <1%
$242,967 Wol.
$242,967 Wol.
Beth Davidson
No
Effie Phillips-Staley
No
Mike Sacks
No
John Cappello
No
Cait Conley
Yes
Peter Chatzky
No
Jessica Reinmann
No
John Sullivan
No
Cait Conley 100.0%
Beth Davidson <1%
Effie Phillips-Staley <1%
Mike Sacks <1%
$242,967 Wol.
$242,967 Wol.
Beth Davidson
No
Effie Phillips-Staley
No
Mike Sacks
No
John Cappello
No
Cait Conley
Yes
Peter Chatzky
No
Jessica Reinmann
No
John Sullivan
No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary with trader consensus at 77.5 percent, driven by her profile as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official with experience on the National Security Council and at CISA, which has drawn endorsements from county leaders and substantial outside support ahead of the June 23 vote. Beth Davidson holds 21.5 percent as the main local alternative, backed by her record as a Rockland County legislator and recent endorsements from prior candidates in the race. The contest has featured attacks on Conley's recent district residency and funding sources, alongside reported Republican-linked spending aimed at blocking her nomination, reflecting assessments of her strength against incumbent Mike Lawler. Minor candidates trail with under 2 percent combined.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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