Anthropic’s advanced preparations and explicit timeline for a public listing in late September or early October 2026 represent the main driver behind the 96.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC on June 1 and is preparing to release its prospectus shortly after Labor Day, supported by recent funding at a $965 billion valuation and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. OpenAI filed its own confidential S-1 a week later but has since signaled a likely 2027 debut, with leadership prioritizing a $1 trillion-plus valuation amid post-SpaceX market volatility and internal readiness concerns. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public filing and roadshow; however, last-minute regulatory reviews, shifts in investor sentiment, or unforeseen delays in either company’s process could still alter the outcome despite the strong current consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnthropic
96% szansa
$335,486 Wol.
$335,486 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
96% szansa
$335,486 Wol.
$335,486 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced preparations and explicit timeline for a public listing in late September or early October 2026 represent the main driver behind the 96.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC on June 1 and is preparing to release its prospectus shortly after Labor Day, supported by recent funding at a $965 billion valuation and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. OpenAI filed its own confidential S-1 a week later but has since signaled a likely 2027 debut, with leadership prioritizing a $1 trillion-plus valuation amid post-SpaceX market volatility and internal readiness concerns. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public filing and roadshow; however, last-minute regulatory reviews, shifts in investor sentiment, or unforeseen delays in either company’s process could still alter the outcome despite the strong current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$335,486Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced preparations and explicit timeline for a public listing in late September or early October 2026 represent the main driver behind the 96.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC on June 1 and is preparing to release its prospectus shortly after Labor Day, supported by recent funding at a $965 billion valuation and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. OpenAI filed its own confidential S-1 a week later but has since signaled a likely 2027 debut, with leadership prioritizing a $1 trillion-plus valuation amid post-SpaceX market volatility and internal readiness concerns. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public filing and roadshow; however, last-minute regulatory reviews, shifts in investor sentiment, or unforeseen delays in either company’s process could still alter the outcome despite the strong current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$335,486Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advanced preparations and explicit timeline for a public listing in late September or early October 2026 represent the main driver behind the 96.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC on June 1 and is preparing to release its prospectus shortly after Labor Day, supported by recent funding at a $965 billion valuation and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. OpenAI filed its own confidential S-1 a week later but has since signaled a likely 2027 debut, with leadership prioritizing a $1 trillion-plus valuation amid post-SpaceX market volatility and internal readiness concerns. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public filing and roadshow; however, last-minute regulatory reviews, shifts in investor sentiment, or unforeseen delays in either company’s process could still alter the outcome despite the strong current consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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