Anthropic's confidential submission of its draft S-1 registration to the SEC on June 1, 2026, has established it as the frontrunner in the IPO race, supporting the 72.5% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. This move follows months of preparatory steps including banker discussions and positions the Claude developer for a potential fall or Q4 debut once SEC review advances. OpenAI, despite engaging Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and targeting a September or late-2026 window, has yet to file and remains focused on completing internal governance and pre-IPO funding milestones. Traders view Anthropic's filing as a meaningful timeline advantage in a competitive AI landscape where first-mover access to public capital could influence chip procurement and talent acquisition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnthropic
$98,037 Wol.
$98,037 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$98,037 Wol.
$98,037 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential submission of its draft S-1 registration to the SEC on June 1, 2026, has established it as the frontrunner in the IPO race, supporting the 72.5% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. This move follows months of preparatory steps including banker discussions and positions the Claude developer for a potential fall or Q4 debut once SEC review advances. OpenAI, despite engaging Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and targeting a September or late-2026 window, has yet to file and remains focused on completing internal governance and pre-IPO funding milestones. Traders view Anthropic's filing as a meaningful timeline advantage in a competitive AI landscape where first-mover access to public capital could influence chip procurement and talent acquisition.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$98,037Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential submission of its draft S-1 registration to the SEC on June 1, 2026, has established it as the frontrunner in the IPO race, supporting the 72.5% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. This move follows months of preparatory steps including banker discussions and positions the Claude developer for a potential fall or Q4 debut once SEC review advances. OpenAI, despite engaging Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and targeting a September or late-2026 window, has yet to file and remains focused on completing internal governance and pre-IPO funding milestones. Traders view Anthropic's filing as a meaningful timeline advantage in a competitive AI landscape where first-mover access to public capital could influence chip procurement and talent acquisition.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$98,172Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential submission of its draft S-1 registration to the SEC on June 1, 2026, has established it as the frontrunner in the IPO race, supporting the 72.5% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. This move follows months of preparatory steps including banker discussions and positions the Claude developer for a potential fall or Q4 debut once SEC review advances. OpenAI, despite engaging Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and targeting a September or late-2026 window, has yet to file and remains focused on completing internal governance and pre-IPO funding milestones. Traders view Anthropic's filing as a meaningful timeline advantage in a competitive AI landscape where first-mover access to public capital could influence chip procurement and talent acquisition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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