Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and plans to release its public prospectus shortly after Labor Day with a targeted Nasdaq listing in late September or early October, underpin the market’s 96.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports highlight Anthropic’s momentum from strong revenue growth in its Claude large language models, major funding rounds, and engagement with lead underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. In contrast, OpenAI’s June filing has been followed by internal deliberations favoring a potential 2027 debut to secure a $1 trillion valuation amid post-SpaceX market volatility. While the current consensus reflects these timelines, realistic variables such as extended SEC review, shifting market sentiment, or accelerated OpenAI execution could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnthropic
$335,486 Wol.
$335,486 Wol.
Anthropic
$335,486 Wol.
$335,486 Wol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and plans to release its public prospectus shortly after Labor Day with a targeted Nasdaq listing in late September or early October, underpin the market’s 96.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports highlight Anthropic’s momentum from strong revenue growth in its Claude large language models, major funding rounds, and engagement with lead underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. In contrast, OpenAI’s June filing has been followed by internal deliberations favoring a potential 2027 debut to secure a $1 trillion valuation amid post-SpaceX market volatility. While the current consensus reflects these timelines, realistic variables such as extended SEC review, shifting market sentiment, or accelerated OpenAI execution could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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