Trader consensus favors Anthropic IPOing first at 63.5% implied probability, driven by late March Bloomberg reporting of an October 2026 target—earlier than OpenAI's contested Q4 window—and April 6 confirmation of a $30 billion annual run rate, tripling prior figures amid enterprise wins like Broadcom partnerships. Rejecting $800 billion private offers last week underscores IPO momentum, contrasting OpenAI's internal tensions: CFO Sarah Friar doubts 2026 readiness per The Information, citing $19 billion projected cash burn against $25 billion revenue and organizational hurdles post-$852 billion March funding. No S-1 filings yet, but Anthropic's revenue surge and secondary market heat position it ahead in this AI lab race, with regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnthropic
$52,645 Wol.
$52,645 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$52,645 Wol.
$52,645 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors Anthropic IPOing first at 63.5% implied probability, driven by late March Bloomberg reporting of an October 2026 target—earlier than OpenAI's contested Q4 window—and April 6 confirmation of a $30 billion annual run rate, tripling prior figures amid enterprise wins like Broadcom partnerships. Rejecting $800 billion private offers last week underscores IPO momentum, contrasting OpenAI's internal tensions: CFO Sarah Friar doubts 2026 readiness per The Information, citing $19 billion projected cash burn against $25 billion revenue and organizational hurdles post-$852 billion March funding. No S-1 filings yet, but Anthropic's revenue surge and secondary market heat position it ahead in this AI lab race, with regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$52,645Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors Anthropic IPOing first at 63.5% implied probability, driven by late March Bloomberg reporting of an October 2026 target—earlier than OpenAI's contested Q4 window—and April 6 confirmation of a $30 billion annual run rate, tripling prior figures amid enterprise wins like Broadcom partnerships. Rejecting $800 billion private offers last week underscores IPO momentum, contrasting OpenAI's internal tensions: CFO Sarah Friar doubts 2026 readiness per The Information, citing $19 billion projected cash burn against $25 billion revenue and organizational hurdles post-$852 billion March funding. No S-1 filings yet, but Anthropic's revenue surge and secondary market heat position it ahead in this AI lab race, with regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$52,645Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Anthropic IPOing first at 63.5% implied probability, driven by late March Bloomberg reporting of an October 2026 target—earlier than OpenAI's contested Q4 window—and April 6 confirmation of a $30 billion annual run rate, tripling prior figures amid enterprise wins like Broadcom partnerships. Rejecting $800 billion private offers last week underscores IPO momentum, contrasting OpenAI's internal tensions: CFO Sarah Friar doubts 2026 readiness per The Information, citing $19 billion projected cash burn against $25 billion revenue and organizational hurdles post-$852 billion March funding. No S-1 filings yet, but Anthropic's revenue surge and secondary market heat position it ahead in this AI lab race, with regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania