Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the AI firm's rejection of venture capital offers exceeding $800 billion just days ago amid a $30 billion annualized revenue run-rate—up from $1 billion in 15 months via surging demand for its Claude large language models. This follows a February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation and March reports of bankers pitching a Q4 2026 public listing potentially raising over $60 billion. The no-IPO-by-2027 outcome at 13% reflects minor delays risk from regulatory scrutiny on AI or market volatility, with lower brackets dismissed due to unprecedented growth outpacing peers like OpenAI. Watch for S-1 filings or model releases as key catalysts ahead of year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
600B+ 83%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13%
400–600B 3.9%
300–400B <1%
$193,105 Wol.
$193,105 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
1%
400–600B
4%
600B+
83%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
13%
600B+ 83%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13%
400–600B 3.9%
300–400B <1%
$193,105 Wol.
$193,105 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$61,497 Wol.
1%
100–200B
$50,737 Wol.
<1%
200–300B
$6,458 Wol.
<1%
300–400B
$46,184 Wol.
1%
400–600B
$7,427 Wol.
4%
600B+
$10,509 Wol.
83%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$10,293 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the AI firm's rejection of venture capital offers exceeding $800 billion just days ago amid a $30 billion annualized revenue run-rate—up from $1 billion in 15 months via surging demand for its Claude large language models. This follows a February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation and March reports of bankers pitching a Q4 2026 public listing potentially raising over $60 billion. The no-IPO-by-2027 outcome at 13% reflects minor delays risk from regulatory scrutiny on AI or market volatility, with lower brackets dismissed due to unprecedented growth outpacing peers like OpenAI. Watch for S-1 filings or model releases as key catalysts ahead of year-end.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$193,105Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the AI firm's rejection of venture capital offers exceeding $800 billion just days ago amid a $30 billion annualized revenue run-rate—up from $1 billion in 15 months via surging demand for its Claude large language models. This follows a February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation and March reports of bankers pitching a Q4 2026 public listing potentially raising over $60 billion. The no-IPO-by-2027 outcome at 13% reflects minor delays risk from regulatory scrutiny on AI or market volatility, with lower brackets dismissed due to unprecedented growth outpacing peers like OpenAI. Watch for S-1 filings or model releases as key catalysts ahead of year-end.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$193,105Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the AI firm's rejection of venture capital offers exceeding $800 billion just days ago amid a $30 billion annualized revenue run-rate—up from $1 billion in 15 months via surging demand for its Claude large language models. This follows a February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation and March reports of bankers pitching a Q4 2026 public listing potentially raising over $60 billion. The no-IPO-by-2027 outcome at 13% reflects minor delays risk from regulatory scrutiny on AI or market volatility, with lower brackets dismissed due to unprecedented growth outpacing peers like OpenAI. Watch for S-1 filings or model releases as key catalysts ahead of year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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