Skip to main content
icon for Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO

Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO

icon for Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO

Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO

Brak wejścia na giełdę do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 99.5%

600 mld+ <1%

400–600 mld <1%

<100 mld <1%

Polymarket

$1,672,042 Wol.

Brak wejścia na giełdę do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 99.5%

600 mld+ <1%

400–600 mld <1%

<100 mld <1%

Polymarket

$1,672,042 Wol.

<100 mld

$310,445 Wol.

<1%

100–200 mld

$153,159 Wol.

<1%

200–300 mld

$180,959 Wol.

<1%

300–400 mld

$134,107 Wol.

<1%

400–600 mld

$226,847 Wol.

<1%

600 mld+

$324,717 Wol.

<1%

Brak wejścia na giełdę do 30 czerwca 2026 roku

$341,811 Wol.

100%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Anthropic confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, marking the formal start of IPO preparations for the Claude AI developer.** This step allows the company to begin SEC review while keeping details private, but standard timelines mean the actual public listing remains months away. Analysts project a potential debut in the second half of 2026, possibly fall, contingent on market conditions, underwriter discussions with firms like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, and resolution of issues such as revenue accounting for cloud resales. With only two weeks until June 30, 2026, completing pricing, roadshows, and closing an offering is effectively impossible. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by that date reflects trader recognition of these procedural realities. A last-minute acceleration via extraordinary regulatory fast-tracking or an atypical direct listing could theoretically shift outcomes, though neither aligns with current company statements or historical AI-sector precedents.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,672,042
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Anthropic confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, marking the formal start of IPO preparations for the Claude AI developer.** This step allows the company to begin SEC review while keeping details private, but standard timelines mean the actual public listing remains months away. Analysts project a potential debut in the second half of 2026, possibly fall, contingent on market conditions, underwriter discussions with firms like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, and resolution of issues such as revenue accounting for cloud resales. With only two weeks until June 30, 2026, completing pricing, roadshows, and closing an offering is effectively impossible. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by that date reflects trader recognition of these procedural realities. A last-minute acceleration via extraordinary regulatory fast-tracking or an atypical direct listing could theoretically shift outcomes, though neither aligns with current company statements or historical AI-sector precedents.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,672,042
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Brak wejścia na giełdę do 30 czerwca 2026 roku" z 100%, za nim "<100 mld" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO" wygenerował $1.7 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Sep 23, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO" jest "Brak wejścia na giełdę do 30 czerwca 2026 roku" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "<100 mld" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.