Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid reports positioning a debut as early as Q4. Recent developments, including rejected $800 billion private funding offers, explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annual run rate fueled by Claude AI model enterprise adoption, and secondary share trading implying a $613 billion valuation, underscore the company's leverage to dictate terms on its timeline. Hype around frontier models like Mythos and partnerships with Amazon and Google bolsters private market strength, but standard SEC review processes (3-6 months post-filing) and historical AI IPO precedents make a H1 rush improbable. A surprise confidential filing with accelerated roadshow could shift odds, though regulatory hurdles and competitive dynamics with OpenAI favor delay.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAntropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO
Antropiczna czapka rynku zamkniętego IPO
Brak wejścia na giełdę do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 96.0%
400–600 mld 2.5%
600 mld+ <1%
300–400 mld <1%
$1,014,423 Wol.
$1,014,423 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 mld
<1%
100–200 mld
<1%
200–300 mld
<1%
300–400 mld
<1%
400–600 mld
2%
600 mld+
1%
Brak wejścia na giełdę do 30 czerwca 2026 roku
96%
Brak wejścia na giełdę do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 96.0%
400–600 mld 2.5%
600 mld+ <1%
300–400 mld <1%
$1,014,423 Wol.
$1,014,423 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100 mld
$209,552 Wol.
<1%
100–200 mld
$70,843 Wol.
<1%
200–300 mld
$125,473 Wol.
<1%
300–400 mld
$74,059 Wol.
<1%
400–600 mld
$118,566 Wol.
2%
600 mld+
$240,385 Wol.
1%
Brak wejścia na giełdę do 30 czerwca 2026 roku
$175,545 Wol.
96%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid reports positioning a debut as early as Q4. Recent developments, including rejected $800 billion private funding offers, explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annual run rate fueled by Claude AI model enterprise adoption, and secondary share trading implying a $613 billion valuation, underscore the company's leverage to dictate terms on its timeline. Hype around frontier models like Mythos and partnerships with Amazon and Google bolsters private market strength, but standard SEC review processes (3-6 months post-filing) and historical AI IPO precedents make a H1 rush improbable. A surprise confidential filing with accelerated roadshow could shift odds, though regulatory hurdles and competitive dynamics with OpenAI favor delay.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,014,423Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid reports positioning a debut as early as Q4. Recent developments, including rejected $800 billion private funding offers, explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annual run rate fueled by Claude AI model enterprise adoption, and secondary share trading implying a $613 billion valuation, underscore the company's leverage to dictate terms on its timeline. Hype around frontier models like Mythos and partnerships with Amazon and Google bolsters private market strength, but standard SEC review processes (3-6 months post-filing) and historical AI IPO precedents make a H1 rush improbable. A surprise confidential filing with accelerated roadshow could shift odds, though regulatory hurdles and competitive dynamics with OpenAI favor delay.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,014,423Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid reports positioning a debut as early as Q4. Recent developments, including rejected $800 billion private funding offers, explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annual run rate fueled by Claude AI model enterprise adoption, and secondary share trading implying a $613 billion valuation, underscore the company's leverage to dictate terms on its timeline. Hype around frontier models like Mythos and partnerships with Amazon and Google bolsters private market strength, but standard SEC review processes (3-6 months post-filing) and historical AI IPO precedents make a H1 rush improbable. A surprise confidential filing with accelerated roadshow could shift odds, though regulatory hurdles and competitive dynamics with OpenAI favor delay.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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