Google's May 2026 I/O announcement of the Gemini 3.5 model family, with 3.5 Pro slated to roll out in the following month, serves as the main catalyst for the tightly clustered June probabilities on this market. Traders appear to weigh typical post-conference deployment windows, internal development cadence after the February 3.1 Pro preview, and ongoing competition from rival labs against the absence of an official date or developer access confirmation. Historical patterns of staggered previews, API updates, and general availability further spread sentiment across mid-to-late June dates without a dominant outcome. No major new disclosures have emerged in recent days to shift the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
June 24 47%
June 17 30%
June 23 27%
June 4 4.5%
June 26
23%
June 13
2%
June 23
27%
June 24
24%
On or prior to June 2
4%
June 8
3%
June 10
22%
June 20
3%
June 3
4%
June 4
5%
June 5
4%
June 6
3%
June 15
1%
June 21
3%
June 25
29%
June 7
2%
June 9
1%
June 11
1%
June 12
29%
June 14
2%
June 16
31%
June 17
30%
June 18
30%
June 19
3%
June 30
30%
June 22
-
June 27
3%
June 28
1%
June 29
1%
No release by June 30
3%
June 24 47%
June 17 30%
June 23 27%
June 4 4.5%
June 26
23%
June 13
2%
June 23
27%
June 24
24%
On or prior to June 2
4%
June 8
3%
June 10
22%
June 20
3%
June 3
4%
June 4
5%
June 5
4%
June 6
3%
June 15
1%
June 21
3%
June 25
29%
June 7
2%
June 9
1%
June 11
1%
June 12
29%
June 14
2%
June 16
31%
June 17
30%
June 18
30%
June 19
3%
June 30
30%
June 22
-
June 27
3%
June 28
1%
June 29
1%
No release by June 30
3%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's May 2026 I/O announcement of the Gemini 3.5 model family, with 3.5 Pro slated to roll out in the following month, serves as the main catalyst for the tightly clustered June probabilities on this market. Traders appear to weigh typical post-conference deployment windows, internal development cadence after the February 3.1 Pro preview, and ongoing competition from rival labs against the absence of an official date or developer access confirmation. Historical patterns of staggered previews, API updates, and general availability further spread sentiment across mid-to-late June dates without a dominant outcome. No major new disclosures have emerged in recent days to shift the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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