Hamas has consistently rejected phased disarmament proposals from President Trump's Board of Peace, which oversees the second phase of the October 2025 Gaza ceasefire, conditioning any weapons handover on prior full Israeli withdrawals, increased aid, and international guarantees against renewed operations. April 2026 deadlines passed without agreement after Hamas delegations in Cairo refused terms requiring surrender of rockets, tunnels, and small arms to a transitional authority. As of late May 2026, mediators continued talks while noting stalled reconstruction and warnings that non-compliance could void further Israeli commitments or risk escalation. Trader sentiment reflects this entrenched impasse, with Hamas prioritizing retention of military capacity absent political concessions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy Hamas zgodzi się na rozbrojenie do...?
$1,939,209 Wol.
30 czerwca 2026
10%
$1,939,209 Wol.
30 czerwca 2026
10%
Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hamas has consistently rejected phased disarmament proposals from President Trump's Board of Peace, which oversees the second phase of the October 2025 Gaza ceasefire, conditioning any weapons handover on prior full Israeli withdrawals, increased aid, and international guarantees against renewed operations. April 2026 deadlines passed without agreement after Hamas delegations in Cairo refused terms requiring surrender of rockets, tunnels, and small arms to a transitional authority. As of late May 2026, mediators continued talks while noting stalled reconstruction and warnings that non-compliance could void further Israeli commitments or risk escalation. Trader sentiment reflects this entrenched impasse, with Hamas prioritizing retention of military capacity absent political concessions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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