Russian forces are applying steady pressure on the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis in Donetsk Oblast, using infantry infiltrations and limited mechanized probes to gain ground near Bilytske and Rodynske as part of efforts to establish a foothold south of Dobropillia and threaten Ukraine’s defensive lines toward the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk area. Ukrainian units continue to hold positions in and around Bilytske, with ISW assessments through mid-July 2026 confirming strikes on those positions but no confirmed Russian territorial consolidation in the settlement itself. Recent developments include Russian drone and artillery activity plus attempts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics, while Ukrainian forces have conducted clearing operations and long-range strikes elsewhere along the front. The outcome hinges on whether Russian units can convert tactical infiltrations into sustained control before Ukrainian reinforcements or attrition alter the local balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Russia capture Bilytske by...?
$311,764 Wol.
August 31
12%
September 30
32%
December 31
75%
$311,764 Wol.
August 31
12%
September 30
32%
December 31
75%
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces are applying steady pressure on the Pokrovsk-Dobropillia axis in Donetsk Oblast, using infantry infiltrations and limited mechanized probes to gain ground near Bilytske and Rodynske as part of efforts to establish a foothold south of Dobropillia and threaten Ukraine’s defensive lines toward the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk area. Ukrainian units continue to hold positions in and around Bilytske, with ISW assessments through mid-July 2026 confirming strikes on those positions but no confirmed Russian territorial consolidation in the settlement itself. Recent developments include Russian drone and artillery activity plus attempts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics, while Ukrainian forces have conducted clearing operations and long-range strikes elsewhere along the front. The outcome hinges on whether Russian units can convert tactical infiltrations into sustained control before Ukrainian reinforcements or attrition alter the local balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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