The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 44-50% for Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Congo DR, Egypt, Ghana, South Africa, and Tunisia stems from their comparable FIFA rankings, recent qualifying records, and historical World Cup results among the nine confirmed CAF participants. With groups yet to be finalized and no standout underperformer emerging from the completed qualifiers, traders see limited separation in expected group-stage outcomes or overall placement. Stronger sides such as Morocco and Algeria sit lower as clearer favorites to advance further, while “Other” reflects residual uncertainty around any playoff entrant or surprise laggard. This even distribution captures the wisdom of crowds assessing a level field where form, matchups, and minor roster shifts could still reorder the bottom.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup: Worst-Placed CAF Nation
Ghana 47%
Congo DR 46%
Tunisia 46%
Cape Verde 45%
Algeria
35%
Cape Verde
45%
Congo DR
46%
Egypt
45%
Ghana
47%
Ivory Coast
31%
Morocco
36%
Senegal
43%
South Africa
45%
Tunisia
46%
Ghana 47%
Congo DR 46%
Tunisia 46%
Cape Verde 45%
Algeria
35%
Cape Verde
45%
Congo DR
46%
Egypt
45%
Ghana
47%
Ivory Coast
31%
Morocco
36%
Senegal
43%
South Africa
45%
Tunisia
46%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 44-50% for Cape Verde, Ivory Coast, Congo DR, Egypt, Ghana, South Africa, and Tunisia stems from their comparable FIFA rankings, recent qualifying records, and historical World Cup results among the nine confirmed CAF participants. With groups yet to be finalized and no standout underperformer emerging from the completed qualifiers, traders see limited separation in expected group-stage outcomes or overall placement. Stronger sides such as Morocco and Algeria sit lower as clearer favorites to advance further, while “Other” reflects residual uncertainty around any playoff entrant or surprise laggard. This even distribution captures the wisdom of crowds assessing a level field where form, matchups, and minor roster shifts could still reorder the bottom.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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