Anon

$4.18

Positions Value

—

Biggest Win

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$8.41

Past Day

Current

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

Yes 48.17%

1.9 shares

48.17%

54.5%

$1.06$0.12 (13.12%)

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

Yes 48.17%

1.9 shares

$1.06$0.12 (13.12%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 29%

3.0 shares

29%

27.5%

$0.83-$0.04 (-5.16%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 29%

3.0 shares

$0.83-$0.04 (-5.16%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Yes 27%

2.3 shares

27%

33%

$0.75$0.14 (22.2%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Yes 27%

2.3 shares

$0.75$0.14 (22.2%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 20%

5.0 shares

20%

13.5%

$0.68-$0.32 (-32.49%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 20%

5.0 shares

$0.68-$0.32 (-32.49%)

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Yes 43.01%

1.4 shares

43.01%

42.25%

$0.61-$0.01 (-1.78%)

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Yes 43.01%

1.4 shares

$0.61-$0.01 (-1.78%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Yes 56.99%

1.0 shares

56.99%

$0.56-$0.00 (-0.02%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Yes 56.99%

1.0 shares

$0.56-$0.00 (-0.02%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 33%

1.0 shares

33%

34.49%

$0.33$0.01 (4.5%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 33%

1.0 shares

$0.33$0.01 (4.5%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 56%

0.6 shares

56%

56.49%

$0.33$0.00 (0.83%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 56%

0.6 shares

$0.33$0.00 (0.83%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes 22.11%

1.2 shares

22.11%

22.5%

$0.26$0.00 (1.69%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes 22.11%

1.2 shares

$0.26$0.00 (1.69%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Yes 26.99%

0.9 shares

26.99%

26.5%

$0.25-$0.00 (-1.83%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Yes 26.99%

0.9 shares

$0.25-$0.00 (-1.83%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Yes 45.99%

0.5 shares

45.99%

45.5%

$0.24-$0.00 (-1.08%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Yes 45.99%

0.5 shares

$0.24-$0.00 (-1.08%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Yes 55.99%

0.3 shares

55.99%

51.5%

$0.13-$0.01 (-8.08%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Yes 55.99%

0.3 shares

$0.13-$0.01 (-8.08%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Yes 33%

0.4 shares

33%

35.5%

$0.13$0.01 (7.47%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Yes 33%

0.4 shares

$0.13$0.01 (7.47%)

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Yes 19%

0.7 shares

19%

18.1%

$0.12-$0.01 (-4.73%)

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Yes 19%

0.7 shares

$0.12-$0.01 (-4.73%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Yes 23%

0.5 shares

23%

23.5%

$0.12$0.00 (2.09%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Yes 23%

0.5 shares

$0.12$0.00 (2.09%)

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Yes 29.99%

0.1 shares

29.99%

30.5%

$0.03$0.00 (1.32%)

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Yes 29.99%

0.1 shares

$0.03$0.00 (1.32%)