Drake’s May 2026 “Iceman” release and accompanying surprise albums drove a historic single-day streaming spike on Spotify, establishing the clearest momentum for the year-to-date #2 artist race. Traders see his surge narrowing the gap with consistent leaders like Taylor Swift, whose all-time totals and steady output keep her favored for the top spot but leave room for Drake to slot in second. Bad Bunny’s reliable monthly baseline and limited new music cap his upside, while lower-odds names trail further behind on current trajectories. With five months left before the Wrapped cutoff, additional Drake projects or viral tracks could widen his lead, whereas late-year surges from Swift or emerging contenders remain the main swing factors in this tightly contested market.