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Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Market icon
Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Arizona 26.7%

Michigan 24%

Duke 24%

Illinois 12.0%

Polymarket

$21,966,660 Vol.

Arizona 26.7%

Michigan 24%

Duke 24%

Illinois 12.0%

Polymarket

$21,966,660 Vol.

Arizona

$1,050,237 Vol.

27%

Michigan

$1,049,572 Vol.

24%

Duke

$910,371 Vol.

24%

Illinois

$1,276,526 Vol.

12%

Connecticut

$2,308,388 Vol.

6%

Purdue

$3,280,181 Vol.

5%

Tennessee

$1,069,093 Vol.

3%

Iowa

$947,263 Vol.

2%

Alabama

$946,975 Vol.

<1%

Michigan State

$922,891 Vol.

<1%

Iowa State

$2,574,008 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.With all three top-seeded contenders—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—advancing unscathed through the first two rounds of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, trader consensus reflects their near-identical elite profiles: Arizona's 33-2 record and dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's resilient 31-3 run despite minor injuries like L.J. Cason's earlier ACL tear, and Duke's 32-2 mark bolstered by guard Caleb Foster's return from a fractured foot ahead of St. John's. Big Ten depth via surging Illinois keeps pressure on the leaders, while balanced brackets and health edges maintain the razor-thin 23-27% implied probabilities among the frontrunners, underscoring March Madness' upset potential in Elite Eight matchups.

With all three top-seeded contenders—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—advancing unscathed through the first two rounds of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, trader consensus reflects their near-identical elite profiles: Arizona's 33-2 record and dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's resilient 31-3 run despite minor injuries like L.J. Cason's earlier ACL tear, and Duke's 32-2 mark bolstered by guard Caleb Foster's return from a fractured foot ahead of St. John's. Big Ten depth via surging Illinois keeps pressure on the leaders, while balanced brackets and health edges maintain the razor-thin 23-27% implied probabilities among the frontrunners, underscoring March Madness' upset potential in Elite Eight matchups.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.With all three top-seeded contenders—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—advancing unscathed through the first two rounds of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, trader consensus reflects their near-identical elite profiles: Arizona's 33-2 record and dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's resilient 31-3 run despite minor injuries like L.J. Cason's earlier ACL tear, and Duke's 32-2 mark bolstered by guard Caleb Foster's return from a fractured foot ahead of St. John's. Big Ten depth via surging Illinois keeps pressure on the leaders, while balanced brackets and health edges maintain the razor-thin 23-27% implied probabilities among the frontrunners, underscoring March Madness' upset potential in Elite Eight matchups.

With all three top-seeded contenders—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—advancing unscathed through the first two rounds of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, trader consensus reflects their near-identical elite profiles: Arizona's 33-2 record and dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's resilient 31-3 run despite minor injuries like L.J. Cason's earlier ACL tear, and Duke's 32-2 mark bolstered by guard Caleb Foster's return from a fractured foot ahead of St. John's. Big Ten depth via surging Illinois keeps pressure on the leaders, while balanced brackets and health edges maintain the razor-thin 23-27% implied probabilities among the frontrunners, underscoring March Madness' upset potential in Elite Eight matchups.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arizona" at 27%, followed by "Michigan" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" has generated $22 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is "Arizona" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michigan" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.