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Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Market icon
Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Arizona 27.2%

Michigan 24%

Duke 23%

Illinois 11.8%

Polymarket

$21,978,819 Vol.

Arizona 27.2%

Michigan 24%

Duke 23%

Illinois 11.8%

Polymarket

$21,978,819 Vol.

Arizona

$1,050,599 Vol.

27%

Michigan

$1,049,808 Vol.

24%

Duke

$912,151 Vol.

23%

Illinois

$1,276,569 Vol.

12%

Connecticut

$2,312,847 Vol.

5%

Purdue

$3,281,878 Vol.

5%

Tennessee

$1,071,723 Vol.

3%

Iowa

$948,476 Vol.

2%

Michigan State

$923,261 Vol.

<1%

Iowa State

$2,574,008 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.No. 1 seeds Arizona, Michigan, and Duke have surged into the Elite Eight after dominant or clutch Sweet 16 wins on March 27, fueling trader consensus on their tight clustering at 27.2%, 23.5%, and 23.0% implied probabilities for the NCAA Tournament title. Arizona routed No. 4 Arkansas 109-88—their first Elite Eight since 2015—bolstered by interior scoring and 47% three-point shooting in the tournament. Michigan powered past No. 4 Alabama behind Yaxel Lendeborg's triple-double threat, while Duke rallied from a halftime deficit against No. 5 St. John's, keyed by Caleb Foster's improbable return from a foot fracture. Today's Elite Eight clashes—Arizona vs. Purdue, Michigan vs. Tennessee, Duke vs. UConn—present balanced paths amid Illinois' upset momentum and lingering injury uncertainties, keeping the Final Four race wide open per skin-in-the-game pricing.

No. 1 seeds Arizona, Michigan, and Duke have surged into the Elite Eight after dominant or clutch Sweet 16 wins on March 27, fueling trader consensus on their tight clustering at 27.2%, 23.5%, and 23.0% implied probabilities for the NCAA Tournament title. Arizona routed No. 4 Arkansas 109-88—their first Elite Eight since 2015—bolstered by interior scoring and 47% three-point shooting in the tournament. Michigan powered past No. 4 Alabama behind Yaxel Lendeborg's triple-double threat, while Duke rallied from a halftime deficit against No. 5 St. John's, keyed by Caleb Foster's improbable return from a foot fracture. Today's Elite Eight clashes—Arizona vs. Purdue, Michigan vs. Tennessee, Duke vs. UConn—present balanced paths amid Illinois' upset momentum and lingering injury uncertainties, keeping the Final Four race wide open per skin-in-the-game pricing.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.No. 1 seeds Arizona, Michigan, and Duke have surged into the Elite Eight after dominant or clutch Sweet 16 wins on March 27, fueling trader consensus on their tight clustering at 27.2%, 23.5%, and 23.0% implied probabilities for the NCAA Tournament title. Arizona routed No. 4 Arkansas 109-88—their first Elite Eight since 2015—bolstered by interior scoring and 47% three-point shooting in the tournament. Michigan powered past No. 4 Alabama behind Yaxel Lendeborg's triple-double threat, while Duke rallied from a halftime deficit against No. 5 St. John's, keyed by Caleb Foster's improbable return from a foot fracture. Today's Elite Eight clashes—Arizona vs. Purdue, Michigan vs. Tennessee, Duke vs. UConn—present balanced paths amid Illinois' upset momentum and lingering injury uncertainties, keeping the Final Four race wide open per skin-in-the-game pricing.

No. 1 seeds Arizona, Michigan, and Duke have surged into the Elite Eight after dominant or clutch Sweet 16 wins on March 27, fueling trader consensus on their tight clustering at 27.2%, 23.5%, and 23.0% implied probabilities for the NCAA Tournament title. Arizona routed No. 4 Arkansas 109-88—their first Elite Eight since 2015—bolstered by interior scoring and 47% three-point shooting in the tournament. Michigan powered past No. 4 Alabama behind Yaxel Lendeborg's triple-double threat, while Duke rallied from a halftime deficit against No. 5 St. John's, keyed by Caleb Foster's improbable return from a foot fracture. Today's Elite Eight clashes—Arizona vs. Purdue, Michigan vs. Tennessee, Duke vs. UConn—present balanced paths amid Illinois' upset momentum and lingering injury uncertainties, keeping the Final Four race wide open per skin-in-the-game pricing.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arizona" at 27%, followed by "Michigan" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" has generated $22 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is "Arizona" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michigan" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.