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Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Market icon
Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Arizona 27.1%

Michigan 24%

Duke 23%

Illinois 11.9%

Polymarket

$22,000,447 Vol.

Arizona 27.1%

Michigan 24%

Duke 23%

Illinois 11.9%

Polymarket

$22,000,447 Vol.

Arizona

$1,050,971 Vol.

27%

Michigan

$1,055,406 Vol.

24%

Duke

$913,475 Vol.

23%

Illinois

$1,282,800 Vol.

12%

Connecticut

$2,314,513 Vol.

5%

Purdue

$3,284,232 Vol.

5%

Tennessee

$1,071,886 Vol.

3%

Iowa

$948,646 Vol.

2%

Iowa State

$2,575,012 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Duke and Michigan solidified their status as title contenders by powering through Sweet 16 wins over St. John's (80-75) and Alabama yesterday, advancing to the Elite Eight alongside UConn's narrow edge over Michigan State, while Arizona (a No. 1 seed with top-ranked defense and superior health) holds a slim edge over Purdue in today's West matchup and Illinois faces Big Ten rival Iowa in the South. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these survivors—reflecting their elite adjusted efficiency margins, dominant regular-season resumes, and favorable paths amid minor injury concerns for Duke and Michigan—highlighting the unpredictable March Madness dynamics where any Elite Eight upset could reshape the Final Four bracket.

Duke and Michigan solidified their status as title contenders by powering through Sweet 16 wins over St. John's (80-75) and Alabama yesterday, advancing to the Elite Eight alongside UConn's narrow edge over Michigan State, while Arizona (a No. 1 seed with top-ranked defense and superior health) holds a slim edge over Purdue in today's West matchup and Illinois faces Big Ten rival Iowa in the South. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these survivors—reflecting their elite adjusted efficiency margins, dominant regular-season resumes, and favorable paths amid minor injury concerns for Duke and Michigan—highlighting the unpredictable March Madness dynamics where any Elite Eight upset could reshape the Final Four bracket.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Duke and Michigan solidified their status as title contenders by powering through Sweet 16 wins over St. John's (80-75) and Alabama yesterday, advancing to the Elite Eight alongside UConn's narrow edge over Michigan State, while Arizona (a No. 1 seed with top-ranked defense and superior health) holds a slim edge over Purdue in today's West matchup and Illinois faces Big Ten rival Iowa in the South. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these survivors—reflecting their elite adjusted efficiency margins, dominant regular-season resumes, and favorable paths amid minor injury concerns for Duke and Michigan—highlighting the unpredictable March Madness dynamics where any Elite Eight upset could reshape the Final Four bracket.

Duke and Michigan solidified their status as title contenders by powering through Sweet 16 wins over St. John's (80-75) and Alabama yesterday, advancing to the Elite Eight alongside UConn's narrow edge over Michigan State, while Arizona (a No. 1 seed with top-ranked defense and superior health) holds a slim edge over Purdue in today's West matchup and Illinois faces Big Ten rival Iowa in the South. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these survivors—reflecting their elite adjusted efficiency margins, dominant regular-season resumes, and favorable paths amid minor injury concerns for Duke and Michigan—highlighting the unpredictable March Madness dynamics where any Elite Eight upset could reshape the Final Four bracket.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arizona" at 27%, followed by "Michigan" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" has generated $22 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is "Arizona" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michigan" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.