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Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Market icon
Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Arizona 27.3%

Michigan 24%

Duke 22%

Illinois 12.1%

Polymarket

$22,115,397 Vol.

Arizona 27.3%

Michigan 24%

Duke 22%

Illinois 12.1%

Polymarket

$22,115,397 Vol.

Arizona

$1,069,265 Vol.

27%

Michigan

$1,059,229 Vol.

24%

Duke

$937,777 Vol.

22%

Illinois

$1,284,398 Vol.

12%

Connecticut

$2,365,415 Vol.

6%

Purdue

$3,294,531 Vol.

5%

Tennessee

$1,082,077 Vol.

2%

Iowa

$952,303 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus favors Arizona at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament after its dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, showcasing elite offensive firepower and depth as the No. 1 West seed facing Purdue in today's Elite Eight. Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (21.5%), both No. 1 seeds, trail closely following convincing wins over Alabama (90-77) and St. John's (80-75), respectively, with their balanced rosters and tournament experience fueling the tight race among top contenders. Illinois (12%) gained traction upsetting No. 2 Houston, highlighting Big Ten strength alongside Purdue and Iowa, while UConn's gritty 67-63 edge over Michigan State keeps lower seeds viable in this volatile single-elimination format heading to the Final Four.

Trader consensus favors Arizona at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament after its dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, showcasing elite offensive firepower and depth as the No. 1 West seed facing Purdue in today's Elite Eight. Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (21.5%), both No. 1 seeds, trail closely following convincing wins over Alabama (90-77) and St. John's (80-75), respectively, with their balanced rosters and tournament experience fueling the tight race among top contenders. Illinois (12%) gained traction upsetting No. 2 Houston, highlighting Big Ten strength alongside Purdue and Iowa, while UConn's gritty 67-63 edge over Michigan State keeps lower seeds viable in this volatile single-elimination format heading to the Final Four.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Trader consensus favors Arizona at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament after its dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, showcasing elite offensive firepower and depth as the No. 1 West seed facing Purdue in today's Elite Eight. Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (21.5%), both No. 1 seeds, trail closely following convincing wins over Alabama (90-77) and St. John's (80-75), respectively, with their balanced rosters and tournament experience fueling the tight race among top contenders. Illinois (12%) gained traction upsetting No. 2 Houston, highlighting Big Ten strength alongside Purdue and Iowa, while UConn's gritty 67-63 edge over Michigan State keeps lower seeds viable in this volatile single-elimination format heading to the Final Four.

Trader consensus favors Arizona at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament after its dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, showcasing elite offensive firepower and depth as the No. 1 West seed facing Purdue in today's Elite Eight. Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (21.5%), both No. 1 seeds, trail closely following convincing wins over Alabama (90-77) and St. John's (80-75), respectively, with their balanced rosters and tournament experience fueling the tight race among top contenders. Illinois (12%) gained traction upsetting No. 2 Houston, highlighting Big Ten strength alongside Purdue and Iowa, while UConn's gritty 67-63 edge over Michigan State keeps lower seeds viable in this volatile single-elimination format heading to the Final Four.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arizona" at 27%, followed by "Michigan" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" has generated $22.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is "Arizona" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michigan" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.