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Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Market icon
Desporto·NCAA

Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026

Arizona 26.8%

Michigan 23%

Duke 23%

Illinois 11.9%

Polymarket

$22,020,575 Vol.

Arizona 26.8%

Michigan 23%

Duke 23%

Illinois 11.9%

Polymarket

$22,020,575 Vol.

Arizona

$1,051,834 Vol.

27%

Michigan

$1,057,625 Vol.

23%

Duke

$913,519 Vol.

23%

Illinois

$1,283,822 Vol.

12%

Connecticut

$2,317,760 Vol.

6%

Purdue

$3,287,553 Vol.

5%

Tennessee

$1,080,373 Vol.

3%

Iowa

$950,116 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.As the 2026 NCAA Tournament reaches the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race among top seeds Arizona (26.8%), Michigan, and Duke (both 22.5%), driven by their dominant Sweet 16 victories—Arizona's sizzling 109-88 rout of Arkansas showcased elite shooting (64% FG), while Michigan and Duke advanced convincingly despite injury concerns for the Blue Devils. No. 3 seed Illinois (11.9%) holds strong after upsetting Houston, positioning them against surging 9-seed Iowa in the South Regional final. Remaining matchups—West's Arizona vs. Purdue, Midwest's Michigan vs. Tennessee, East's Duke vs. UConn—feature Big Ten depth and stylistic clashes, underscoring upset potential and keeping Final Four paths balanced amid March Madness volatility.

As the 2026 NCAA Tournament reaches the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race among top seeds Arizona (26.8%), Michigan, and Duke (both 22.5%), driven by their dominant Sweet 16 victories—Arizona's sizzling 109-88 rout of Arkansas showcased elite shooting (64% FG), while Michigan and Duke advanced convincingly despite injury concerns for the Blue Devils. No. 3 seed Illinois (11.9%) holds strong after upsetting Houston, positioning them against surging 9-seed Iowa in the South Regional final. Remaining matchups—West's Arizona vs. Purdue, Midwest's Michigan vs. Tennessee, East's Duke vs. UConn—feature Big Ten depth and stylistic clashes, underscoring upset potential and keeping Final Four paths balanced amid March Madness volatility.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.As the 2026 NCAA Tournament reaches the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race among top seeds Arizona (26.8%), Michigan, and Duke (both 22.5%), driven by their dominant Sweet 16 victories—Arizona's sizzling 109-88 rout of Arkansas showcased elite shooting (64% FG), while Michigan and Duke advanced convincingly despite injury concerns for the Blue Devils. No. 3 seed Illinois (11.9%) holds strong after upsetting Houston, positioning them against surging 9-seed Iowa in the South Regional final. Remaining matchups—West's Arizona vs. Purdue, Midwest's Michigan vs. Tennessee, East's Duke vs. UConn—feature Big Ten depth and stylistic clashes, underscoring upset potential and keeping Final Four paths balanced amid March Madness volatility.

As the 2026 NCAA Tournament reaches the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested race among top seeds Arizona (26.8%), Michigan, and Duke (both 22.5%), driven by their dominant Sweet 16 victories—Arizona's sizzling 109-88 rout of Arkansas showcased elite shooting (64% FG), while Michigan and Duke advanced convincingly despite injury concerns for the Blue Devils. No. 3 seed Illinois (11.9%) holds strong after upsetting Houston, positioning them against surging 9-seed Iowa in the South Regional final. Remaining matchups—West's Arizona vs. Purdue, Midwest's Michigan vs. Tennessee, East's Duke vs. UConn—feature Big Ten depth and stylistic clashes, underscoring upset potential and keeping Final Four paths balanced amid March Madness volatility.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arizona" at 27%, followed by "Michigan" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" has generated $22 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" is "Arizona" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michigan" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Torneio da NCAA de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.