Skip to main content
icon for Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?
Tecnologia·Cultura

Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?

icon for Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?
Tecnologia·Cultura

Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?

Sim

91% chance
Polymarket

$58,078 Vol.

Sim

91% chance
Polymarket

$58,078 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Growing backlash over AI data centers' surging energy demands and grid pressures has fueled the 91% trader consensus that a qualifying moratorium will pass before 2027. At least a dozen states advanced bills in 2026 targeting construction pauses for environmental reviews, while more than 100 localities enacted temporary halts amid community opposition. The March 2026 Sanders-AOC federal proposal amplified visibility, though its committee status leaves broader passage uncertain. Momentum from ongoing state sessions and local precedents underpins the strong market-implied odds, yet realistic challenges include potential vetoes, stalled legislation in key states, or narrower bill language that fails to meet resolution criteria.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$58,078
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Growing backlash over AI data centers' surging energy demands and grid pressures has fueled the 91% trader consensus that a qualifying moratorium will pass before 2027. At least a dozen states advanced bills in 2026 targeting construction pauses for environmental reviews, while more than 100 localities enacted temporary halts amid community opposition. The March 2026 Sanders-AOC federal proposal amplified visibility, though its committee status leaves broader passage uncertain. Momentum from ongoing state sessions and local precedents underpins the strong market-implied odds, yet realistic challenges include potential vetoes, stalled legislation in key states, or narrower bill language that fails to meet resolution criteria.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$58,078
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Moratória para centros de dados de IA aprovada antes de 2027?" at 91%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?" has generated $58.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?" is "Moratória para centros de dados de IA aprovada antes de 2027?" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.