Recent legislative momentum, including New York lawmakers' approval of a one-year statewide pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending signature and similar measures advancing in multiple states and over 100 localities, has driven strong trader consensus around the 91.8% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. moratorium clearing before 2027. Backlash over surging energy demands, grid strain, and environmental impacts has fueled proposals from the Sanders-AOC federal bill to local actions in places like Maine and New Jersey, creating multiple pathways for at least one measure to succeed by the deadline. Realistic challenges remain, however, including potential gubernatorial vetoes, narrowly tailored bills that fail market criteria, or shifting political priorities that could stall broader efforts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMoratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?
Moratória do data center de IA aprovada antes de 2027?
Sim
$58,111 Vol.
$58,111 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$58,111 Vol.
$58,111 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent legislative momentum, including New York lawmakers' approval of a one-year statewide pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending signature and similar measures advancing in multiple states and over 100 localities, has driven strong trader consensus around the 91.8% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. moratorium clearing before 2027. Backlash over surging energy demands, grid strain, and environmental impacts has fueled proposals from the Sanders-AOC federal bill to local actions in places like Maine and New Jersey, creating multiple pathways for at least one measure to succeed by the deadline. Realistic challenges remain, however, including potential gubernatorial vetoes, narrowly tailored bills that fail market criteria, or shifting political priorities that could stall broader efforts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$58,111Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent legislative momentum, including New York lawmakers' approval of a one-year statewide pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending signature and similar measures advancing in multiple states and over 100 localities, has driven strong trader consensus around the 91.8% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. moratorium clearing before 2027. Backlash over surging energy demands, grid strain, and environmental impacts has fueled proposals from the Sanders-AOC federal bill to local actions in places like Maine and New Jersey, creating multiple pathways for at least one measure to succeed by the deadline. Realistic challenges remain, however, including potential gubernatorial vetoes, narrowly tailored bills that fail market criteria, or shifting political priorities that could stall broader efforts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$58,111Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent legislative momentum, including New York lawmakers' approval of a one-year statewide pause on new hyperscale AI data centers pending signature and similar measures advancing in multiple states and over 100 localities, has driven strong trader consensus around the 91.8% implied probability for a qualifying U.S. moratorium clearing before 2027. Backlash over surging energy demands, grid strain, and environmental impacts has fueled proposals from the Sanders-AOC federal bill to local actions in places like Maine and New Jersey, creating multiple pathways for at least one measure to succeed by the deadline. Realistic challenges remain, however, including potential gubernatorial vetoes, narrowly tailored bills that fail market criteria, or shifting political priorities that could stall broader efforts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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