Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar have advanced a draft imposing a legal duty of care on frontier AI developers, with provisions for safety testing, incident reporting, and potential government blocks on high-risk model releases. Recent disclosures from Anthropic and public warnings from former researchers accelerated talks in early September 2026, yet disagreements persist over mandatory versus voluntary testing standards, including opposition from Sen. Maria Cantwell. The House has advanced narrower measures like the Great American AI Act and committee-reported bills on labeling and NIST safety centers, but none have reached the floor. With midterms on November 3 and a compressed legislative calendar, plus ongoing debates over state preemption and enforcement scope, enactment of qualifying federal AI safety legislation remains stalled through the end of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEUA promulgam lei de segurança de IA antes de 2027?
EUA promulgam lei de segurança de IA antes de 2027?
Sim
19% chance
$103,265 Vol.
$103,265 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
19% chance
$103,265 Vol.
$103,265 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar have advanced a draft imposing a legal duty of care on frontier AI developers, with provisions for safety testing, incident reporting, and potential government blocks on high-risk model releases. Recent disclosures from Anthropic and public warnings from former researchers accelerated talks in early September 2026, yet disagreements persist over mandatory versus voluntary testing standards, including opposition from Sen. Maria Cantwell. The House has advanced narrower measures like the Great American AI Act and committee-reported bills on labeling and NIST safety centers, but none have reached the floor. With midterms on November 3 and a compressed legislative calendar, plus ongoing debates over state preemption and enforcement scope, enactment of qualifying federal AI safety legislation remains stalled through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$103,265Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar have advanced a draft imposing a legal duty of care on frontier AI developers, with provisions for safety testing, incident reporting, and potential government blocks on high-risk model releases. Recent disclosures from Anthropic and public warnings from former researchers accelerated talks in early September 2026, yet disagreements persist over mandatory versus voluntary testing standards, including opposition from Sen. Maria Cantwell. The House has advanced narrower measures like the Great American AI Act and committee-reported bills on labeling and NIST safety centers, but none have reached the floor. With midterms on November 3 and a compressed legislative calendar, plus ongoing debates over state preemption and enforcement scope, enactment of qualifying federal AI safety legislation remains stalled through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$103,265Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar have advanced a draft imposing a legal duty of care on frontier AI developers, with provisions for safety testing, incident reporting, and potential government blocks on high-risk model releases. Recent disclosures from Anthropic and public warnings from former researchers accelerated talks in early September 2026, yet disagreements persist over mandatory versus voluntary testing standards, including opposition from Sen. Maria Cantwell. The House has advanced narrower measures like the Great American AI Act and committee-reported bills on labeling and NIST safety centers, but none have reached the floor. With midterms on November 3 and a compressed legislative calendar, plus ongoing debates over state preemption and enforcement scope, enactment of qualifying federal AI safety legislation remains stalled through the end of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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